Team Pages/Big Ten/Nebraska
Nebraska logo
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Nebraska

Record 5-2vs line 6–0 ATSLast L 14–17 at OregonNext Oct 31 vs Washington
#24
BBMI rank
+28.7
Rating
8.5–3.5
Proj record
11%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Washington logo
Washington
#55 • +21.5 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Nebraska
#24 • +28.7 • home
Nebraska logo
—
Model line
-9.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Ohio logovs Ohio
W 49–21#6499%
Sep 12
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
W 56–7#13333–2099%
Sep 19
North Dakota logovs North Dakota
W 34–7
Sep 26
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
W 31–13#9928–1974%
Oct 3
Maryland logovs Maryland
W 48–23#10132–2396%
Oct 10
Indiana logovs Indiana
L 17–20#325–2636%
Oct 17
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 14–17#2229–2746%
Oct 31
Washington logovs Washington
Sat 7:00 PM#55Premium
Nov 6
Illinois logoat Illinois
Fri#5165%†
Nov 14
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
Sat#11698%†
Nov 21
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
Sat#232%†
Nov 27
Iowa logoat Iowa
Fri#2765%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#15#20#25#30#35
#24
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 25

8 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 25, open circle). Up 4 to #24, measured against the ranking published Oct 19.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field11%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal1%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
67891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+5.7#34
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.2#16
Yards per play margin+1.11#55
Turnover margin+0.57#18
Strength of schedule+0.8#28

BBMI picks on Nebraska

2026 • ATS
6–0
Picks on Nebraska
0–0
Picks against
+5.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.

From the Research Desk

All research →
NCAAF · Season Preview

Reload in Lincoln: Nebraska's 2026 Season, by the Numbers

Nebraska is coming off back-to-back bowls for the first time since 2015–16 and a coach locked up through 2032 — then lost quarterback Dylan Raiola to Oregon and All-American back Emmett Johnson to the NFL Draft. BBMI grades the Huskers 37th nationally, 10th of 18 in the Big Ten, and a projected 6–6 (3–6): about 6.2 expected wins, a cupcake non-conference tray, a vicious back half, and a Black Friday trip to Iowa where the model makes them an 8-point underdog.

#37 nationally · 10th of 18 Big Ten · 6–6 base case · Iowa ~34% (8-pt dog)Jul 26 · 9 min
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.