Team Pages/Big 12/UCF
UCF logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

UCF

Record 4-3vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 39–31 vs BYUNext Oct 30 vs Baylor
#41
BBMI rank
+21.2
Rating
7.4–4.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Baylor logo
Baylor
#54 • +22.9 • Big 12
FRI OCT 30 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UCF
#41 • +21.2 • home
UCF logo
—
Model line
-1.5
Market line
—
Edge
51%
Outright win probability
UCF 51%Baylor 49%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 3
Bethune-Cookman logovs Bethune-Cookman
W 73–6
Sep 12
Pittsburgh logoat Pittsburgh
L 7–12#5036–2922%
Sep 19
Georgia State logovs Georgia State
W 44–30#9724–2499%
Sep 26
TCU logovs TCU
W 21–13#6723–2344%
Oct 3
Houston logoat Houston
L 17–27#1125–2626%
Oct 10
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 28–42#2626–2722%
Oct 24
BYU logovs BYU
W 39–31#917–2918%
Oct 30
Baylor logovs Baylor
Fri 6:30 PM#5451%
Nov 7
Kansas logoat Kansas
Sat 11:00 PM#7949%
Nov 14
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
Sat#6375%†
Nov 20
Iowa State logovs Iowa State
Fri#9591%†
Nov 28
Colorado logoat Colorado
Sat#10877%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#50#60
#41
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.4
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+0.7#63
Defense (pts vs avg)-3.1#43
Yards per play margin+0.34#94
Turnover margin+0.38#30
Strength of schedule-0.2#78

BBMI picks on UCF

2026 • ATS
2–1
Picks on UCF
1–2
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.