BBMI Rank · #94 of 136
UCF
Record 5-7Big 12Power rating 15.2
Quality wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #99SP+ Off
23.2
99th
YPP diff
+0.02
90th
TO margin
-1.22
121st
Defense
SP+ #52SP+ Def
24.0
52nd
Q-Wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.5
82nd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ BYU#9 | L 21–41 | UCF +26.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Oklahoma State#130 | W 17–14 | UCF -21.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Texas Tech#4 | L 9–48 | UCF +27.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Houston#23 | L 27–30 | UCF +4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Baylor#91 | L 3–30 | UCF +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs West Virginia#105 | W 45–13 | UCF -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Cincinnati#78 | L 11–20 | UCF +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Kansas#71 | L 20–27 | UCF -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Kansas State#34 | L 20–34 | UCF +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs North Carolina#111 | W 34–9 | UCF -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs NCA North Carolina A&T Aggies | W 68–7 | No line | — |
| Aug 28 | 1 | vs Jacksonville State#64 | W 17–10 | UCF -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.