Team Pages/Big Ten/USC
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

USC

Record 6-2vs line 3–5 ATSLast L 7–24 at WisconsinNext Oct 31 vs Ohio State
#33
BBMI rank
+24.8
Rating
7.6–4.4
Proj record
1%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Ohio State logo
Ohio State
#3 • +34.7 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
USC
#33 • +24.8 • home
USC logo
—
Model line
+6.5
Market line
—
Edge
26%
Outright win probability
USC 26%Ohio State 74%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
San Jose State logovs San Jose State
W 42–26#9329–2299%
Sep 4
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
W 39–0#7597%
Sep 12
Louisiana logovs Louisiana
W 49–30#7424–2599%
Sep 19
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
W 42–35#11732–2097%
Sep 26
Oregon logovs Oregon
L 27–41#2231–3471%
Oct 3
Washington logovs Washington
W 25–21#6227–2682%
Oct 10
Penn State logoat Penn State
W 31–23#7325–2636%
Oct 24
Wisconsin logoat Wisconsin
L 7–24#3124–2354%
Oct 31
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
Sat 6:30 PM#326%
Nov 14
Indiana logoat Indiana
Sat#29%†
Nov 21
Maryland logovs Maryland
Sat#10497%†
Nov 28
UCLA logoat UCLA
Sat#527%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#10#20#30
#33
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #33, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field1%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.6
678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+10.1#9
Defense (pts vs avg)-3.5#39
Yards per play margin+2.07#27
Turnover margin-0.79#102
Strength of schedule+1.4#7

BBMI picks on USC

2026 • ATS
1–4
Picks on USC
2–1
Picks against
-2.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.