
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
USC
#33
BBMI rank
+24.8
Rating
7.6–4.4
Proj record
1%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Ohio State
SAT OCT 31 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
USC
—
Model line
+6.5
Market line
—
Edge
26%
Outright win probability
USC 26%Ohio State 74%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
vs San Jose StateW 42–26#9329–2299%
Sep 4
vs Fresno StateW 39–0#7597%
Sep 12
vs LouisianaW 49–30#7424–2599%
Sep 19
at RutgersW 42–35#11732–2097%
Sep 26
vs OregonL 27–41#2231–3471%
Oct 3
vs WashingtonW 25–21#6227–2682%
Oct 10
at Penn StateW 31–23#7325–2636%
Oct 24
at WisconsinL 7–24#3124–2354%
Oct 31
vs Ohio StateSat 6:30 PM#326%
Nov 14
at IndianaSat#29%†
Nov 21
vs MarylandSat#10497%†
Nov 28
at UCLASat#527%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#10#20#30
#33
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #33, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field1%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
7.6
678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+10.1#9
Defense (pts vs avg)-3.5#39
Yards per play margin+2.07#27
Turnover margin-0.79#102
Strength of schedule+1.4#7
BBMI picks on USC
2026 • ATS1–4
Picks on USC
2–1
Picks against
-2.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.