BBMI Rank · #13 of 138
USC
Record 0-0Big TenPower rating 29.6
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #6SP+ Off
37.7
6th
YPP diff
0.00
13th
TO margin
0.00
13th
Defense
SP+ #29SP+ Def
20.5
29th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.3
92nd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs San Jose State#122 | -34.5 | USC -34.5 | 97% |
| Sep 4 | 1 | vs Fresno State#82 | -21 | USC -21 | 87% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Louisiana#104 | -28 | USC -28 | 93% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Rutgers#61 | -13 | USC -13 | 76% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Oregon#2 | +9.5 | USC +9.5 | 31% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Washington#21 | -4.5 | USC -4.5 | 59% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Penn State#16 | +1 | USC +1 | 48% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Wisconsin#67 | -13 | USC -13 | 76% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Ohio State#1 | +13 | USC +13 | 24% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Indiana#5 | +9.5 | USC +9.5 | 30% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Maryland#54 | -15 | USC -15 | 79% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ UCLA#46 | -9.5 | USC -9.5 | 70% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.