BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
USC
#12
BBMI rank
+30.6
Rating
7.9–4.1
Proj record
24%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →USC
SAT SEP 19 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Rutgers
—
Model line
-25.5
Market line
—
Edge
87%
Win probability
USC 87%Rutgers 13%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
vs San Jose StateW 42–26#12129–2299%
vs San Jose StateSep 4
vs Fresno StateW 39–0#8397%
vs Fresno StateSep 12
vs LouisianaW 49–30#10724–2599%
vs LouisianaSep 19at RutgersSat 2:30 PM#6087%
at RutgersSep 26
vs OregonSat#232%
vs OregonOct 3
vs WashingtonSat#2070%
vs WashingtonOct 10
at Penn StateSat#1637%
at Penn StateOct 24
at WisconsinSat#6483%
at WisconsinOct 31
vs Ohio StateSat#123%
vs Ohio StateNov 14
at IndianaSat#521%
at IndianaNov 21
vs MarylandSat#4489%
vs MarylandNov 28
at UCLASat#4373%
at UCLARanking over time
2026 season · place of 136#9#10#11#12#13#14
#11
Sep 1Sep 8
2 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The rank held, measured against the ranking published Sep 7.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Win Big Ten1%
Make the 12-team field24%
Top-4 seed (bye)5%
Reach the semifinal6%
Win the national title1%
Regular-season wins
middle half of sims7.9
567891011
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+12.3#6
Defense (pts vs avg)-6.2#28
Yards per play margin+3.20#24
Turnover margin-0.94#87
Strength of schedule+2.5#12
BBMI picks on USC
2026 • ATS1–1
Picks on USC
1–0
Picks against
+0.8u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 3 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.