BBMI Rank · #13 of 136
USC
Record 9-4Big TenPower rating 27.4
Quality wins
3.3
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #9SP+ Off
38.9
9th
YPP diff
+2.02
15th
TO margin
-0.53
84th
Defense
SP+ #36SP+ Def
21.0
36th
Q-Wins
3.3
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.0
97th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 1 | N TCU#21 | L 27–30 | USC -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | vs UCLA#118 | W 29–10 | USC -35.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Oregon#2 | L 27–42 | USC +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Iowa#18 | W 26–21 | USC -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Northwestern#56 | W 38–17 | USC -20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Nebraska#68 | W 21–17 | USC -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Notre Dame#12 | L 24–34 | USC +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Michigan#29 | W 31–13 | USC -17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Illinois#14 | L 32–34 | USC +6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 21 | 4 | vs Michigan State#86 | W 45–31 | USC -27.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Purdue#128 | W 33–17 | USC -26.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Georgia Southern#102 | W 59–20 | USC -31.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs Missouri State#98 | W 73–13 | USC -29.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.