BBMI Rank · #113 of 136
Nevada
Record 3-9Mountain WestPower rating 13.0
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #133SP+ Off
14.2
133rd
YPP diff
-0.46
103rd
TO margin
-0.80
102nd
Defense
SP+ #82SP+ Def
28.7
82nd
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.0
38th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | 14 | vs UNLV#42 | L 17–42 | Nevada +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Wyoming#107 | W 13–7 | Nevada +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs San Jose State#114 | W 55–10 | Nevada -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 9 | 11 | @ Utah State#70 | L 14–51 | Nevada +16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Boise State#51 | L 3–24 | Nevada +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 19 | 8 | @ New Mexico#52 | L 22–24 | Nevada +17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 12 | 7 | vs San Diego State#53 | L 10–44 | Nevada +11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 5 | 6 | @ Fresno State#36 | L 17–20 | Nevada +17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Western Kentucky#61 | L 16–31 | Nevada +14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Middle Tennessee#103 | L 13–14 | Nevada -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs SSH Sacramento State Hornets | W 20–17 | No line | — |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Penn State#38 | L 11–46 | Nevada +22.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.