
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON
Nevada
#106
BBMI rank
+18.8
Rating
5.6–6.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Nevada
SAT OCT 31 • 3:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UCLA
—
Model line
+22.5
Market line
—
Edge
8%
Outright win probability
Nevada 8%UCLA 92%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Western KentuckyW 49–14#11649%
Sep 12
vs Montana StateL 7–20
Sep 19
at Middle TennesseeL 20–27#10123–2382%
Sep 26
vs Air ForceL 33–36#6022–2546%
Oct 10
at UTEPW 30–13#13429–1994%
Oct 17
at North Dakota StateL 17–31#3719–2410%
Oct 24
vs San Jose StateW 28–13#9326–2068%
Oct 31
at UCLASat 3:15 PM#58%
Nov 6
vs New MexicoFri 8:00 PM#2736%
Nov 14
at Northern IllinoisSat#13897%†
Nov 21
vs HawaiiSat#12381%†
Nov 28
at UNLVSat#6837%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#90#100#110#120
#106
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #106, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Mountain West0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
5.6
345678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-5.6#107
Defense (pts vs avg)-1.3#55
Yards per play margin+2.01#29
Turnover margin-1.17#122
Strength of schedule-0.1#73
BBMI picks on Nevada
2026 • ATS4–1
Picks on Nevada
0–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.