Team Pages/Mountain West/Nevada
Nevada logo
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

Nevada

Record 3-4vs line 4–2 ATSLast W 28–13 vs San Jose StateNext Oct 31 at UCLA
#106
BBMI rank
+18.8
Rating
5.6–6.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Nevada logo
Nevada
#106 • +18.8 • Mountain West
SAT OCT 31 • 3:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UCLA
#5 • +29.5 • home
UCLA logo
—
Model line
+22.5
Market line
—
Edge
8%
Outright win probability
Nevada 8%UCLA 92%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
W 49–14#11649%
Sep 12
Montana State logovs Montana State
L 7–20
Sep 19
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
L 20–27#10123–2382%
Sep 26
Air Force logovs Air Force
L 33–36#6022–2546%
Oct 10
UTEP logoat UTEP
W 30–13#13429–1994%
Oct 17
North Dakota State logoat North Dakota State
L 17–31#3719–2410%
Oct 24
San Jose State logovs San Jose State
W 28–13#9326–2068%
Oct 31
UCLA logoat UCLA
Sat 3:15 PM#58%
Nov 6
New Mexico logovs New Mexico
Fri 8:00 PM#2736%
Nov 14
Northern Illinois logoat Northern Illinois
Sat#13897%†
Nov 21
Hawaii logovs Hawaii
Sat#12381%†
Nov 28
UNLV logoat UNLV
Sat#6837%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#90#100#110#120
#106
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #106, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5.6
345678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-5.6#107
Defense (pts vs avg)-1.3#55
Yards per play margin+2.01#29
Turnover margin-1.17#122
Strength of schedule-0.1#73

BBMI picks on Nevada

2026 • ATS
4–1
Picks on Nevada
0–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.