Team Pages/Mountain West/San Jose State
San Jose State logo
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

San Jose State

Record 4-4vs line 5–2 ATSLast L 13–28 at NevadaNext Oct 31 vs New Mexico
#93
BBMI rank
+14.3
Rating
5.6–7.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
New Mexico logo
New Mexico
#27 • +24.7 • Mountain West
SAT OCT 31 • 3:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
San Jose State
#93 • +14.3 • home
San Jose State logo
—
Model line
+14.5
Market line
—
Edge
19%
Outright win probability
San Jose State 19%New Mexico 81%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
USC logoat USC
L 26–42#3322–291%
Sep 4
Eastern Michigan logoat Eastern Michigan
W 27–21#11521–3136%
Sep 12
Cal Poly logovs Cal Poly
W 30–20
Sep 19
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
L 10–26#7523–2420%
Oct 3
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
W 20–16#12327–2523%
Oct 9
Wyoming logovs Wyoming
L 13–16#8621–1951%
Oct 17
UTEP logoat UTEP
W 24–11#13426–1880%
Oct 24
Nevada logoat Nevada
L 13–28#10620–2632%
Oct 31
New Mexico logovs New Mexico
Sat 3:00 PM#2719%
Nov 7
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
Sat 3:00 PM#13893%
Nov 14
Air Force logoat Air Force
Sat#6015%†
Nov 21
UNLV logovs UNLV
Sat#6830%†
Nov 27
North Dakota State logovs North Dakota State
Fri#3715%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#100#110#120
#93
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #93, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5.6
45678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-10.6#126
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.1#75
Yards per play margin+1.47#40
Turnover margin+0.02#50
Strength of schedule-0.4#92

BBMI picks on San Jose State

2026 • ATS
2–0
Picks on San Jose State
3–2
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.