
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON
San Jose State
#93
BBMI rank
+14.3
Rating
5.6–7.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
New Mexico
SAT OCT 31 • 3:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
San Jose State
—
Model line
+14.5
Market line
—
Edge
19%
Outright win probability
San Jose State 19%New Mexico 81%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
at USCL 26–42#3322–291%
Sep 4
at Eastern MichiganW 27–21#11521–3136%
Sep 12
vs Cal PolyW 30–20
Sep 19
vs Fresno StateL 10–26#7523–2420%
Oct 3
at HawaiiW 20–16#12327–2523%
Oct 9
vs WyomingL 13–16#8621–1951%
Oct 17
at UTEPW 24–11#13426–1880%
Oct 24
at NevadaL 13–28#10620–2632%
Oct 31
vs New MexicoSat 3:00 PM#2719%
Nov 7
vs Northern IllinoisSat 3:00 PM#13893%
Nov 14
at Air ForceSat#6015%†
Nov 21
vs UNLVSat#6830%†
Nov 27
vs North Dakota StateFri#3715%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#100#110#120
#93
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #93, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Mountain West0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
5.6
45678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-10.6#126
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.1#75
Yards per play margin+1.47#40
Turnover margin+0.02#50
Strength of schedule-0.4#92
BBMI picks on San Jose State
2026 • ATS2–0
Picks on San Jose State
3–2
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.