Team Pages/Mountain West/North Dakota State
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MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

North Dakota State

Record 6-2vs line 0–3 ATSLast L 16–21 at New MexicoNext Oct 31 vs UTEP
#37
BBMI rank
+22.9
Rating
9.6–2.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
UTEP logo
UTEP
#134 • +6.4 • Mountain West
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
North Dakota State
#37 • +22.9 • home
North Dakota State logo
—
Model line
-24.5
Market line
—
Edge
99%
Outright win probability
North Dakota State 99%UTEP 1%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
W 33–7#57
Sep 5
Fordham logovs Fordham
W 38–0
Sep 12
Air Force logoat Air Force
W 38–32#60
Sep 19
Sacramento State logoat Sacramento State
W 31–10#136
Oct 3
Wyoming logovs Wyoming
W 28–0#86
Oct 10
UNLV logoat UNLV
L 7–13#6826–1873%
Oct 17
Nevada logovs Nevada
W 31–17#10624–1990%
Oct 24
New Mexico logoat New Mexico
L 16–21#2719–2143%
Oct 31
UTEP logovs UTEP
Sat 2:30 PM#13499%
Nov 14
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
Sat#12377%†
Nov 21
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
Sat#138100%†
Nov 27
San Jose State logoat San Jose State
Fri#9385%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#32#34#36#38
#37
Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

3 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West19%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.6
891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 9 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-1.1#81
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.1#17
Yards per play margin+2.06#28
Turnover margin-0.44#82
Strength of schedule-0.8#113

BBMI picks on North Dakota State

2026 • ATS
0–3
Picks on North Dakota State
0–0
Picks against
-3.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 3 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.