BBMI Rank · #73 of 138
North Dakota State
Record 0-0Mountain WestPower rating 19.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #82SP+ Off
24.4
82nd
YPP diff
0.00
73rd
TO margin
0.00
73rd
Defense
SP+ #67SP+ Def
25.8
67th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
—
—
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs Jacksonville State#96 | -8.5 | North Dakota State -8.5 | 67% |
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Fordham | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Air Force#77 | +1 | North Dakota State +1 | 48% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Sacramento State#130 | -19.5 | North Dakota State -19.5 | 85% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Wyoming#106 | -10 | North Dakota State -10 | 71% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ UNLV#58 | +6 | North Dakota State +6 | 37% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Nevada#112 | -13 | North Dakota State -13 | 75% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ New Mexico#68 | +3 | North Dakota State +3 | 44% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs UTEP#129 | -21 | North Dakota State -21 | 87% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Hawaii#83 | -0.5 | North Dakota State -0.5 | 51% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Northern Illinois#125 | -19 | North Dakota State -19 | 84% |
| Nov 27 | 13 | @ San Jose State#122 | -12 | North Dakota State -12 | 74% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.