BBMI Rank · #117 of 136
Oregon State
Record 2-10Pac-12Power rating 12.3
Quality wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #126SP+ Off
17.0
126th
YPP diff
-0.29
99th
TO margin
-0.97
110th
Defense
SP+ #96SP+ Def
30.8
96th
Q-Wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-2.0
133rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Washington State#58 | L 8–32 | Oregon State +21.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Tulsa#101 | L 14–31 | Oregon State +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs Sam Houston State#133 | L 17–21 | Oregon State -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vsWashington State#58 | W 10–7 | Oregon State +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 19 | 8 | vs LL Lafayette Leopards | W 45–13 | No line | — |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Wake Forest#55 | L 14–39 | Oregon State +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ ASM App State Mountaineers | L 23–27 | No line | — |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Houston#23 | L 24–27 | Oregon State +15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Oregon#2 | L 7–41 | Oregon State +36.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Texas Tech#4 | L 14–45 | Oregon State +32.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Fresno State#36 | L 27–36 | Oregon State +12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 31 | 1 | vs California#66 | L 15–34 | Oregon State +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.