Team Pages/Pac-12/Oregon State
Oregon State logo
PAC-12 • 2026 SEASON

Oregon State

Record 5-2vs line 2–4 ATSLast W 48–30 vs Washington StateNext Oct 31 at Fresno State
#42
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
7.5–3.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Oregon State logo
Oregon State
#42 • +22.6 • Pac-12
SAT OCT 31 • 10:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Fresno State
#75 • +20.1 • home
Fresno State logo
—
Model line
-5.5
Market line
—
Edge
62%
Outright win probability
Oregon State 62%Fresno State 38%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Houston logoat Houston
L 20–33#119%
Sep 12
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
L 24–35#1419–343%
Sep 19
Montana logovs Montana
W 52–17
Sep 26
UTEP logoat UTEP
W 33–7#13430–2487%
Oct 3
Colorado State logoat Colorado State
W 56–26#11132–3153%
Oct 10
San Diego State logovs San Diego State
W 66–14#9830–2483%
Oct 17
Washington State logovs Washington State
W 48–30#13029–2097%
Oct 31
Fresno State logoat Fresno State
Sat 10:00 PM#7562%
Nov 7
Texas State logovs Texas State
Sat 9:30 PM#8271%
Nov 14
Boise State logoat Boise State
Sat#1923%†
Nov 21
Utah State logovs Utah State
Sat#12094%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#60#80
#42
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Pac-1216%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+5.1#37
Defense (pts vs avg)-1.2#56
Yards per play margin+2.65#11
Turnover margin+0.55#22
Strength of schedule+0.1#63

BBMI picks on Oregon State

2026 • ATS
2–1
Picks on Oregon State
0–3
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.