BBMI Rank · #78 of 136
Cincinnati
Record 7-6Big 12Power rating 17.1
Quality wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #50SP+ Off
30.2
50th
YPP diff
+0.79
56th
TO margin
-1.00
112th
Defense
SP+ #67SP+ Def
26.4
67th
Q-Wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.8
45th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2 | 1 | N Navy#41 | L 13–35 | Cincinnati +8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ TCU#21 | L 23–45 | Cincinnati +16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | vs BYU#9 | L 14–26 | Cincinnati +15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Arizona#35 | L 24–30 | Cincinnati +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 2 | 10 | @ Utah#39 | L 14–45 | Cincinnati +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Baylor#91 | W 41–20 | Cincinnati -5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 19 | 8 | @ Oklahoma State#130 | W 49–17 | Cincinnati -9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs UCF#94 | W 20–11 | Cincinnati -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Iowa State#17 | W 38–30 | Cincinnati +10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Kansas#71 | W 37–34 | Cincinnati +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs NSD Northwestern State Demons | W 70–0 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Bowling Green#93 | W 34–20 | Cincinnati -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 29 | 1 | N Nebraska#68 | L 17–20 | Cincinnati +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.