Team Pages/Big 12/Cincinnati
Cincinnati logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Cincinnati

Record 5-2vs line 2–4 ATSLast W 37–24 vs Texas TechNext Oct 31 vs Utah
#39
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
7.2–4.8
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Utah logo
Utah
#8 • +29.5 • Big 12
SAT OCT 31 • 2:45 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Cincinnati
#39 • +22.6 • home
Cincinnati logo
—
Model line
+6.5
Market line
—
Edge
23%
Outright win probability
Cincinnati 23%Utah 77%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 34–15#5978%
Sep 12
Western Carolina logovs Western Carolina
W 62–10
Sep 19
Miami (OH) logovs Miami (OH)
W 35–31#7634–2197%
Sep 26
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
W 31–26#5626–3047%
Oct 3
Arizona logoat Arizona
L 7–34#1728–2636%
Oct 17
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
L 42–45#5132–2976%
Oct 24
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 37–24#1422–3518%
Oct 31
Utah logovs Utah
Sat 2:45 PM#823%
Nov 7
Houston logoat Houston
Sat 11:00 PM#1121%
Nov 14
Iowa State logoat Iowa State
Sat#9570%†
Nov 21
Colorado logovs Colorado
Sat#10897%†
Nov 28
BYU logoat BYU
Sat#911%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#35#40#45#50#55
#39
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.2
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+7.3#22
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.5#78
Yards per play margin+0.78#71
Turnover margin+0.61#16
Strength of schedule+1.1#14

BBMI picks on Cincinnati

2026 • ATS
2–3
Picks on Cincinnati
0–1
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.