BBMI Rank · #30 of 136
East Carolina
Record 9-4American AthleticPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
-9.3
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #33SP+ Off
32.6
33rd
YPP diff
+0.10
87th
TO margin
+1.19
5th
Defense
SP+ #51SP+ Def
24.0
51st
Q-Wins
-9.3
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.5
81st
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | 1 | N Pittsburgh#50 | W 23–17 | East Carolina -0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Florida Atlantic#122 | W 42–3 | East Carolina -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ U UTSA#33 | L 24–58 | East Carolina +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Memphis#60 | W 31–27 | East Carolina -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Charlotte#136 | W 48–22 | East Carolina -29.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Temple#108 | W 45–14 | East Carolina -18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 16 | 8 | vs Tulsa#101 | W 41–27 | East Carolina -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 9 | 7 | @ Tulane#22 | L 19–26 | East Carolina +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 25 | 5 | vs Army#67 | W 28–6 | East Carolina -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs BYU#9 | L 13–34 | East Carolina +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Coastal Carolina#123 | W 38–0 | East Carolina -15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs CFC Campbell Fighting Camels | W 56–3 | No line | — |
| Aug 28 | 1 | @ NC State#27 | L 17–24 | East Carolina +10.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.