Team Pages/American Athletic/East Carolina
East Carolina logo
AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

East Carolina

Record 3-4vs line 1–4 ATSLast L 34–41 at MemphisNext Oct 31 vs Temple
#100
BBMI rank
+16.5
Rating
6.0–6.0
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Temple logo
Temple
#112 • +15.8 • American Athletic
SAT OCT 31 • 2:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
East Carolina
#100 • +16.5 • home
East Carolina logo
—
Model line
-6.0
Market line
—
Edge
72%
Outright win probability
East Carolina 72%Temple 28%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 10–48#103%
Sep 12
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
L 24–27#69
Sep 19
Old Dominion logoat Old Dominion
W 20–17#12120–2633%
Sep 26
North Carolina Central logovs North Carolina Central
W 42–9
Oct 10
Rice logovs Rice
W 28–12#12923–2083%
Oct 15
UAB logoat UAB
L 17–30#9124–2270%
Oct 22
Memphis logoat Memphis
L 34–41#4418–3414%
Oct 31
Temple logovs Temple
Sat 2:00 PM#11272%
Nov 6
South Florida logovs South Florida
Fri 6:30 PM#6145%
Nov 14
Charlotte logoat Charlotte
Sat#13297%†
Nov 21
Army logoat Army
Sat#5521%†
Nov 27
Florida Atlantic logovs Florida Atlantic
Fri#8168%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#80#90#100
#100
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 3 to #100, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.0
45678
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-4.3#105
Defense (pts vs avg)+0.5#70
Yards per play margin+0.22#96
Turnover margin-0.90#108
Strength of schedule-1.0#122

BBMI picks on East Carolina

2026 • ATS
1–2
Picks on East Carolina
0–2
Picks against
-3.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.