Team Pages/SEC/LSU
LSU logo
SEC • 2026 SEASON

LSU

Record 6-2vs line 4–3 ATSLast W 38–17 at AuburnNext Nov 7 vs Alabama
#20
BBMI rank
+31.5
Rating
8.9–3.1
Proj record
40%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Alabama logo
Alabama
#10 • +31.2 • SEC
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
LSU
#20 • +31.5 • home
LSU logo
—
Model line
-4.5
Market line
—
Edge
71%
Outright win probability
LSU 71%Alabama 29%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Clemson logovs Clemson
W 51–10#6580%
Sep 12
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
W 45–14#5829–4299%
Sep 19
Ole Miss logoat Ole Miss
L 24–32#1537–2965%
Sep 26
Texas A&M logovs Texas A&M
W 35–6#7230–3177%
Oct 3
McNeese logovs McNeese
W 63–14
Oct 10
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
L 34–35#436–2787%
Oct 17
Mississippi State logovs Mississippi State
W 31–0#3536–3086%
Oct 24
Auburn logoat Auburn
W 38–17#3634–2477%
Nov 7
Alabama logovs Alabama
Sat 2:30 PM#1071%
Nov 14
Texas logovs Texas
Sat#1281%†
Nov 21
Tennessee logoat Tennessee
Sat#1646%†
Nov 28
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
Sat#7791%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#10#20#30
#20
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC3%
Make the 12-team field40%
Top-4 seed (bye)2%
Reach the semifinal12%
Win the national title2%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.9
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+12.3#5
Defense (pts vs avg)-12.6#5
Yards per play margin+3.50#2
Turnover margin-0.55#90
Strength of schedule+0.9#22

BBMI picks on LSU

2026 • ATS
3–2
Picks on LSU
1–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.