
SEC • 2026 SEASON
LSU
#20
BBMI rank
+31.5
Rating
8.9–3.1
Proj record
40%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Alabama
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
LSU
—
Model line
-4.5
Market line
—
Edge
71%
Outright win probability
LSU 71%Alabama 29%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs ClemsonW 51–10#6580%
Sep 12
vs Louisiana TechW 45–14#5829–4299%
Sep 19
at Ole MissL 24–32#1537–2965%
Sep 26
vs Texas A&MW 35–6#7230–3177%
Oct 3
vs McNeeseW 63–14
Oct 10
at KentuckyL 34–35#436–2787%
Oct 17
vs Mississippi StateW 31–0#3536–3086%
Oct 24
at AuburnW 38–17#3634–2477%
Nov 7
vs AlabamaSat 2:30 PM#1071%
Nov 14
vs TexasSat#1281%†
Nov 21
at TennesseeSat#1646%†
Nov 28
at ArkansasSat#7791%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#10#20#30
#20
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win SEC3%
Make the 12-team field40%
Top-4 seed (bye)2%
Reach the semifinal12%
Win the national title2%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
8.9
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+12.3#5
Defense (pts vs avg)-12.6#5
Yards per play margin+3.50#2
Turnover margin-0.55#90
Strength of schedule+0.9#22
BBMI picks on LSU
2026 • ATS3–2
Picks on LSU
1–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.