Team Pages/Mid-American/Western Michigan
Western Michigan logo
MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Western Michigan

Record 5-3vs line 3–4 ATSLast L 38–45 at ToledoNext Oct 31 vs Bowling Green
#70
BBMI rank
+18.3
Rating
8.2–3.8
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Bowling Green logo
Bowling Green
#133 • +11.8 • Mid-American
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Western Michigan
#70 • +18.3 • home
Western Michigan logo
—
Model line
-13.5
Market line
—
Edge
90%
Outright win probability
Western Michigan 90%Bowling Green 10%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Michigan logoat Michigan
L 12–13#482%
Sep 12
Monmouth logovs Monmouth
W 49–14
Sep 19
Rice logoat Rice
W 28–21#12926–1774%
Sep 26
Boise State logovs Boise State
L 7–32#1926–2437%
Oct 3
Buffalo logoat Buffalo
W 20–17#9027–2167%
Oct 10
Kent State logovs Kent State
W 38–7#12823–1683%
Oct 17
Central Michigan logoat Central Michigan
W 21–14#12521–1662%
Oct 24
Toledo logoat Toledo
L 38–45#6619–2924%
Oct 31
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
Sat 11:00 AM#13390%
Nov 10
Akron logoat Akron
Tue#13591%†
Nov 17
Eastern Michigan logovs Eastern Michigan
Tue#11585%†
Nov 24
Miami (OH) logovs Miami (OH)
Tue#7657%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#70#80#90#100
#70
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #70, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mid-American4%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.2
678910
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-3.7#101
Defense (pts vs avg)-0.1#66
Yards per play margin+0.94#63
Turnover margin-0.34#75
Strength of schedule-1.3#136

BBMI picks on Western Michigan

2026 • ATS
0–2
Picks on Western Michigan
3–2
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.