BBMI Rank · #110 of 138
Buffalo
Record 0-0MACPower rating 12.7
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #126SP+ Off
15.7
126th
YPP diff
0.00
110th
TO margin
0.00
110th
Defense
SP+ #85SP+ Def
28.1
85th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.6
15th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | 1 | vs U UAlbany | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ F FIU#116 | 0 | Buffalo 0 | 50% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Penn State#16 | +29.5 | Buffalo +29.5 | 6% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Robert Morris | — | No line | — |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Western Michigan#98 | +2.5 | Buffalo +2.5 | 44% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Toledo#111 | +2.5 | Buffalo +2.5 | 45% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Massachusetts#137 | -21 | Buffalo -21 | 87% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Bowling Green#117 | -3.5 | Buffalo -3.5 | 57% |
| Nov 3 | 10 | @ Miami (OH)#84 | +11 | Buffalo +11 | 28% |
| Nov 11 | 11 | @ Ball State#134 | -11.5 | Buffalo -11.5 | 73% |
| Nov 18 | 12 | vs Central Michigan#114 | -2.5 | Buffalo -2.5 | 55% |
| Nov 27 | 13 | @ Akron#127 | -5.5 | Buffalo -5.5 | 62% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.