Team Pages/Mid-American/Buffalo
Buffalo logo
MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Buffalo

Record 5-3vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 31–24 vs Bowling GreenNext Nov 3 at Miami (OH)
#90
BBMI rank
+13.9
Rating
7.3–4.7
Proj record
0%
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Last updated: (data published)
Buffalo logo
Buffalo
#90 • +13.9 • Mid-American
TUE NOV 3 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Miami (OH)
#76 • +18.3 • home
Miami (OH) logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
19%
Outright win probability
Buffalo 19%Miami (OH) 81%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 3
U
vs UAlbany
W 21–17
Sep 12
FIU logoat FIU
L 20–33#10925–1937%
Sep 19
Penn State logoat Penn State
L 13–55#7316–301%
Sep 26
Robert Morris logovs Robert Morris
W 31–28
Oct 3
Western Michigan logovs Western Michigan
L 17–20#7021–2733%
Oct 10
Toledo logoat Toledo
W 23–8#6625–372%
Oct 17
Massachusetts logovs Massachusetts
W 25–18#11319–2548%
Oct 24
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
W 31–24#13326–1969%
Nov 3
Miami (OH) logoat Miami (OH)
Tue 7:00 PM#7619%
Nov 11
Ball State logoat Ball State
Wed#11957%†
Nov 18
Central Michigan logovs Central Michigan
Wed#12575%†
Nov 27
Akron logoat Akron
Fri#13577%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#90#100#110#120
#90
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mid-American1%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.3
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-10.4#125
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.6#87
Yards per play margin+0.45#88
Turnover margin+0.12#43
Strength of schedule-1.5#137

BBMI picks on Buffalo

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Buffalo
1–1
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.