BBMI Rank · #84 of 136
Buffalo
Record 5-7Mid-AmericanPower rating 16.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #118SP+ Off
18.2
118th
YPP diff
+1.58
27th
TO margin
-1.27
123rd
Defense
SP+ #70SP+ Def
27.4
70th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.6
15th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28 | 14 | vs Ohio#62 | L 26–31 | Buffalo +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 20 | 13 | vs Miami (OH)#65 | L 20–37 | Buffalo +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 13 | 12 | @ Central Michigan#82 | L 19–38 | Buffalo +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Bowling Green#93 | W 28–3 | Buffalo -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Akron#89 | L 16–24 | Buffalo -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Massachusetts#135 | W 28–21 | Buffalo -15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Eastern Michigan#104 | W 31–30 | Buffalo -2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs C Connecticut#32 | L 17–20 | Buffalo +11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Troy#90 | L 17–21 | Buffalo -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Kent State#116 | W 31–28 | Buffalo +2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs SFR Saint Francis Red Flash | W 45–6 | No line | — |
| Aug 29 | 1 | @ Minnesota#63 | L 10–23 | Buffalo +15.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.