BBMI Rank · #23 of 136
Houston
Record 10-3Big 12Power rating 24.3
Quality wins
2.8
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #44SP+ Off
31.5
44th
YPP diff
+0.67
64th
TO margin
+0.24
32nd
Defense
SP+ #46SP+ Def
23.0
46th
Q-Wins
2.8
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.1
99th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28 | 1 | N LSU#44 | W 38–35 | Houston -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Baylor#91 | W 31–24 | Houston -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs TCU#21 | L 14–17 | Houston +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ UCF#94 | W 30–27 | Houston -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs West Virginia#105 | L 35–45 | Houston -14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 26 | 9 | @ Arizona State#69 | W 24–16 | Houston -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Arizona#35 | W 31–28 | Houston -0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Oklahoma State#130 | W 39–17 | Houston -21.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Texas Tech#4 | L 11–35 | Houston +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Oregon State#117 | W 27–24 | Houston -15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 12 | 3 | vs Colorado#109 | W 36–20 | Houston -15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Rice#129 | W 35–9 | Houston -22.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs SFA Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | W 27–0 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.