
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
Houston
#11
BBMI rank
+27.9
Rating
9.4–2.6
Proj record
47%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Cincinnati
SAT NOV 7 • 11:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Houston
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
79%
Outright win probability
Houston 79%Cincinnati 21%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Oregon StateW 33–20#4291%
Sep 12
vs SouthernW 77–6
Sep 18
at Texas TechL 26–28#1435–2518%
Sep 26
at Georgia SouthernW 42–28#8530–2288%
Oct 3
vs UCFW 27–17#4126–2574%
Oct 10
at Kansas StateW 35–16#5628–3047%
Oct 17
vs Oklahoma StateW 35–32#2631–2959%
Oct 24
at UtahL 13–21#823–3325%
Nov 7
vs CincinnatiSat 11:00 PM#3979%
Nov 13
at ColoradoFri#10895%†
Nov 21
at West VirginiaSat#5193%†
Nov 28
vs BaylorSat#5479%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#10#20#30#40
#11
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field47%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal4%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.4
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+9.6#11
Defense (pts vs avg)-2.9#45
Yards per play margin+0.42#90
Turnover margin+0.69#10
Strength of schedule0.0#68
BBMI picks on Houston
2026 • ATS1–0
Picks on Houston
5–1
Picks against
+4.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.