Team Pages/Big 12/Houston
Houston logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Houston

Record 6-2vs line 6–1 ATSLast L 13–21 at UtahNext Nov 7 vs Cincinnati
#11
BBMI rank
+27.9
Rating
9.4–2.6
Proj record
47%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Cincinnati logo
Cincinnati
#39 • +22.6 • Big 12
SAT NOV 7 • 11:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Houston
#11 • +27.9 • home
Houston logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
79%
Outright win probability
Houston 79%Cincinnati 21%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Oregon State logovs Oregon State
W 33–20#4291%
Sep 12
Southern logovs Southern
W 77–6
Sep 18
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
L 26–28#1435–2518%
Sep 26
Georgia Southern logoat Georgia Southern
W 42–28#8530–2288%
Oct 3
UCF logovs UCF
W 27–17#4126–2574%
Oct 10
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
W 35–16#5628–3047%
Oct 17
Oklahoma State logovs Oklahoma State
W 35–32#2631–2959%
Oct 24
Utah logoat Utah
L 13–21#823–3325%
Nov 7
Cincinnati logovs Cincinnati
Sat 11:00 PM#3979%
Nov 13
Colorado logoat Colorado
Fri#10895%†
Nov 21
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
Sat#5193%†
Nov 28
Baylor logovs Baylor
Sat#5479%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#10#20#30#40
#11
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field47%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal4%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.4
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+9.6#11
Defense (pts vs avg)-2.9#45
Yards per play margin+0.42#90
Turnover margin+0.69#10
Strength of schedule0.0#68

BBMI picks on Houston

2026 • ATS
1–0
Picks on Houston
5–1
Picks against
+4.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.