BBMI Rank · #43 of 138
Duke
Record 0-0ACCPower rating 23.6
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #20SP+ Off
32.8
20th
YPP diff
0.00
43rd
TO margin
0.00
43rd
Defense
SP+ #81SP+ Def
27.5
81st
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.4
34th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Tulane#86 | -13 | Duke -13 | 76% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Illinois#32 | +5.5 | Duke +5.5 | 38% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Stanford#78 | -9.5 | Duke -9.5 | 70% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs William & Mary | — | No line | — |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Georgia Tech#42 | +2.5 | Duke +2.5 | 45% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs North Carolina#56 | -4 | Duke -4 | 58% |
| Oct 23 | 8 | @ Virginia#41 | +3 | Duke +3 | 44% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Boston College#71 | -9 | Duke -9 | 69% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ NC State#47 | +1 | Duke +1 | 47% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Miami (FL)#8 | +17.5 | Duke +17.5 | 18% |
| Nov 20 | 12 | vs Clemson#23 | +5 | Duke +5 | 39% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Wake Forest#59 | 0 | Duke 0 | 50% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.