Team Pages/ACC/Duke
Duke logo
ACC • 2026 SEASON

Duke

Record 5-2vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 19–16 at VirginiaNext Oct 31 vs Boston College
#43
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
7.4–4.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Boston College logo
Boston College
#59 • +19.6 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Duke
#43 • +22.6 • home
Duke logo
—
Model line
-7.0
Market line
—
Edge
77%
Outright win probability
Duke 77%Boston College 23%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Tulane logovs Tulane
W 17–3#8787%
Sep 12
Illinois logoat Illinois
W 31–27#5219–2127%
Sep 19
Stanford logovs Stanford
W 35–7#10229–2191%
Sep 26
William & Mary logovs William & Mary
W 62–7
Oct 10
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 25–28#11029–2078%
Oct 17
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
L 20–24#4623–1876%
Oct 23
Virginia logoat Virginia
W 19–16#8323–2544%
Oct 31
Boston College logovs Boston College
Sat 11:00 AM#5977%
Nov 7
NC State logoat NC State
Sat 11:30 AM#8860%
Nov 14
Miami (FL) logoat Miami (FL)
Sat#13%†
Nov 20
Clemson logovs Clemson
Fri#6577%†
Nov 28
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
Sat#1325%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#30#40#50
#43
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.4
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+3.2#49
Defense (pts vs avg)-3.0#44
Yards per play margin+2.11#26
Turnover margin+0.33#33
Strength of schedule+0.8#27

BBMI picks on Duke

2026 • ATS
3–2
Picks on Duke
0–1
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.