BBMI Rank · #29 of 136
Michigan
Record 9-4Big TenPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
-5.3
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #48SP+ Off
30.9
48th
YPP diff
+1.39
37th
TO margin
-1.22
120th
Defense
SP+ #15SP+ Def
17.0
15th
Q-Wins
-5.3
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.4
109th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 1 | N Texas#8 | L 27–41 | Michigan +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Ohio State#6 | L 9–27 | Michigan +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Maryland#97 | W 45–20 | Michigan -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Northwestern#56 | W 24–22 | Michigan +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Purdue#128 | W 21–16 | Michigan -25.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Michigan State#86 | W 31–20 | Michigan -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Washington#24 | W 24–7 | Michigan -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ USC#13 | L 13–31 | Michigan +17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Wisconsin#110 | W 24–10 | Michigan -20.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Nebraska#68 | W 30–27 | Michigan +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Central Michigan#82 | W 63–3 | Michigan -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Oklahoma#10 | L 13–24 | Michigan +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs New Mexico#52 | W 34–17 | Michigan -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.