BBMI Rank · #17 of 138
Michigan
Record 0-0Big TenPower rating 28.9
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #19SP+ Off
32.8
19th
YPP diff
0.00
17th
TO margin
0.00
17th
Defense
SP+ #13SP+ Def
16.2
13th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.5
111th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Western Michigan#98 | -25.5 | Michigan -25.5 | 91% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Oklahoma#12 | -1 | Michigan -1 | 52% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs UTEP#129 | -38.5 | Michigan -38.5 | 98% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Iowa#22 | -4.5 | Michigan -4.5 | 60% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Minnesota#50 | -9 | Michigan -9 | 68% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Penn State#16 | -2.5 | Michigan -2.5 | 55% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Indiana#5 | +6.5 | Michigan +6.5 | 37% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ Rutgers#61 | -12.5 | Michigan -12.5 | 75% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Michigan State#66 | -17.5 | Michigan -17.5 | 83% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Oregon#2 | +14 | Michigan +14 | 22% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs UCLA#46 | -13 | Michigan -13 | 76% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Ohio State#1 | +17.5 | Michigan +17.5 | 17% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.