BBMI Rank · #15 of 136
Louisville
Record 9-4ACCPower rating 25.7
Quality wins
2.8
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #39SP+ Off
31.6
39th
YPP diff
+2.57
7th
TO margin
-0.01
47th
Defense
SP+ #29SP+ Def
19.8
29th
Q-Wins
2.8
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.6
55th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23 | 1 | N Toledo#48 | W 27–22 | Louisville -6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Kentucky#83 | W 41–0 | Louisville -20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ SMU#11 | L 6–38 | Louisville +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Clemson#28 | L 19–20 | Louisville -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs California#66 | L 26–29 | Louisville -15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Virginia Tech#121 | W 28–16 | Louisville -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Boston College#120 | W 38–24 | Louisville -27.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 17 | 8 | @ Miami (FL)#7 | W 24–21 | Louisville +11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Virginia#16 | L 27–30 | Louisville -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Pittsburgh#50 | W 34–27 | Louisville -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Bowling Green#93 | W 40–17 | Louisville -22.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 5 | 2 | vs James Madison#37 | W 28–14 | Louisville -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs EKC Eastern Kentucky Colonels | W 51–17 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.