
BBMI Rank · #26 of 138
Louisville
Record 0-0ACCPower rating 26.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #36SP+ Off
30.6
36th
YPP diff
0.00
26th
TO margin
0.00
26th
Defense
SP+ #26SP+ Def
19.7
26th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.2
54th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | 1 | N | +5 | Louisville +5 | 40% |
| Sep 11 | 2 | vs | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs | -2 | Louisville -2 | 55% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs | -9.5 | Louisville -9.5 | 69% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ | -4 | Louisville -4 | 59% |
| Oct 9 | 6 | vs | -4 | Louisville -4 | 59% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ | -9.5 | Louisville -9.5 | 70% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs | -15 | Louisville -15 | 79% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ | -3 | Louisville -3 | 56% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ | -5 | Louisville -5 | 61% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs | -6.5 | Louisville -6.5 | 64% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ | -5 | Louisville -5 | 61% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.