Team Pages/ACC/Louisville
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ACC • 2026 SEASON

Louisville

Record 4-3vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 34–26 at SyracuseNext Oct 31 vs Stanford
#40
BBMI rank
+26.3
Rating
7.9–4.1
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Stanford logo
Stanford
#102 • +10.1 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 2:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Louisville
#40 • +26.3 • home
Louisville logo
—
Model line
-22.5
Market line
—
Edge · Premium ATS
99%
Outright win probability
Louisville 99%Stanford 1%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 6
Ole Miss logovs Ole Miss
L 38–41#1529%
Sep 11
Villanova logovs Villanova
W 59–13
Sep 19
SMU logovs SMU
W 41–31#2130–3163%
Sep 26
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 27–30#1335–2990%
Oct 3
NC State logoat NC State
L 28–31#8831–3270%
Oct 9
Florida State logovs Florida State
W 44–20#7128–2973%
Oct 17
Syracuse logoat Syracuse
W 34–26#8032–3179%
Oct 31
Stanford logovs Stanford
Sat 2:15 PM#10299%
Nov 7
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
Sat 6:30 PM#11088%
Nov 14
North Carolina logoat North Carolina
Sat#4677%†
Nov 21
Pittsburgh logovs Pittsburgh
Sat#5081%†
Nov 28
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
Sat#446%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#20#30#40#50
#40
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.9
678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+11.2#6
Defense (pts vs avg)-0.5#61
Yards per play margin+2.33#18
Turnover margin+0.59#17
Strength of schedule+0.1#61

BBMI picks on Louisville

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Louisville
1–1
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.