BBMI Rank · #66 of 136
California
Record 7-6ACCPower rating 19.2
Quality wins
-1.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #77SP+ Off
25.6
77th
YPP diff
+0.96
49th
TO margin
-0.65
95th
Defense
SP+ #73SP+ Def
27.9
73rd
Q-Wins
-1.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.9
94th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25 | 1 | @ Hawaii#46 | L 31–35 | California +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 30 | 14 | vs SMU#11 | W 38–35 | California +10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ Stanford#119 | L 10–31 | California -6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | @ Louisville#15 | W 29–26 | California +15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Virginia#16 | L 21–31 | California +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 24 | 9 | @ Virginia Tech#121 | L 34–42 | California -11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs North Carolina#111 | W 21–18 | California -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 5 | 6 | vs Duke#25 | L 21–45 | California +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Boston College#120 | W 28–24 | California -12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | @ San Diego State#53 | L 0–34 | California +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 14 | 3 | vs Minnesota#63 | W 27–14 | California -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs TST Texas Southern Tigers | W 35–3 | No line | — |
| Aug 31 | 1 | @ Oregon State#117 | W 34–15 | California -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.