Team Pages/ACC/California
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ACC • 2026 SEASON

California

Record 3-5vs line 5–2 ATSLast L 20–59 at SMUNext Oct 31 at NC State
#89
BBMI rank
+13.2
Rating
4.1–7.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
California logo
California
#89 • +13.2 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
NC State
#88 • +17.9 • home
NC State logo
—
Model line
+7.0
Market line
—
Edge
22%
Outright win probability
California 22%NC State 78%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
UCLA logovs UCLA
L 24–45#558%
Sep 12
Syracuse logoat Syracuse
W 21–18#8018–5254%
Sep 19
Wagner logovs Wagner
W 49–7
Sep 25
Clemson logovs Clemson
L 10–24#6528–2338%
Oct 3
UNLV logoat UNLV
L 31–39#6825–2426%
Oct 10
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
W 25–20#4525–3412%
Oct 17
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 7–41#1325–3015%
Oct 24
SMU logoat SMU
L 20–59#2112–412%
Oct 31
NC State logoat NC State
Sat 11:00 AM#8822%
Nov 14
Virginia logoat Virginia
Sat#836%†
Nov 21
Stanford logovs Stanford
Sat#10273%†
Nov 28
Pittsburgh logovs Pittsburgh
Sat#5017%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#70#80#90
#89
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.1
23456
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-3.7#102
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.6#104
Yards per play margin-1.04#129
Turnover margin-0.04#55
Strength of schedule-0.3#81

BBMI picks on California

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on California
4–1
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.