Team Pages/Big Ten/Indiana
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Indiana

Record 7-1vs line 4–3 ATSLast W 13–6 at MichiganNext Oct 31 vs Minnesota
#2
BBMI rank
+32.6
Rating
10.8–1.2
Proj record
98%
Make CFP

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Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Minnesota logo
Minnesota
#47 • +22.6 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Indiana
#2 • +32.6 • home
Indiana logo
—
Model line
-20.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
North Texas logovs North Texas
W 52–16#4999%
Sep 12
Howard logovs Howard
W 55–0
Sep 19
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
W 38–0#11644–15100%
Sep 25
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
W 29–23#1825–2094%
Oct 3
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
W 47–15#11729–2099%
Oct 10
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
W 20–17#2426–2564%
Oct 17
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
L 15–19#323–2352%
Oct 24
Michigan logoat Michigan
W 13–6#4822–1471%
Oct 31
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
Sat 2:30 PM#47Premium
Nov 14
USC logovs USC
Sat#3391%†
Nov 21
Washington logoat Washington
Sat#6295%†
Nov 28
Purdue logovs Purdue
Sat#5397%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#2#4#6#8
#2
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #2, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten9%
Make the 12-team field98%
Top-4 seed (bye)75%
Reach the semifinal53%
Win the national title12%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
10.8
9101112
Middle half of the simulations: 11 to 11 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 10 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+8.6#15
Defense (pts vs avg)-15.0#2
Yards per play margin+3.07#4
Turnover margin+0.36#31
Strength of schedule+0.1#60

BBMI picks on Indiana

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on Indiana
3–0
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.

From the Research Desk

All research →
NCAAF · Season Preview

Sixteen-and-Oh, Then the NFL Came Calling: Indiana's 2026 Season, by the Numbers

Indiana went 16–0 and won the first national title in the program's 139-year history, then sent a program-record eight players to the NFL — including Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza at No. 1 overall. Curt Cignetti reloaded through the portal again. BBMI grades the Hoosiers 5th nationally, 3rd of 18 in the Big Ten, and a projected 10–2 (~7–2): about 9.7 expected wins, no Oregon on the schedule, and exactly one game the model makes them an underdog — Ohio State, at home, on October 17.

#5 nationally · 3rd of 18 Big Ten · 10–2 base case · Ohio State ~40% Oct 17Aug 16 · 10 min
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.