BBMI Rank · #61 of 136
Western Kentucky
Record 9-4Conference USAPower rating 20.3
Quality wins
0.4
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #57SP+ Off
28.8
57th
YPP diff
+0.20
84th
TO margin
-0.99
111th
Defense
SP+ #79SP+ Def
28.6
79th
Q-Wins
0.4
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.4
23rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23 | 1 | N Southern Miss#81 | W 27–16 | Western Kentucky -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Jacksonville State#64 | L 34–37 | Western Kentucky +4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ LSU#44 | L 10–13 | Western Kentucky +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Middle Tennessee#103 | W 42–26 | Western Kentucky -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs New Mexico State#112 | W 35–16 | Western Kentucky -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 21 | 9 | @ Louisiana Tech#74 | W 28–27 | Western Kentucky +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 15 | 8 | vs F FIU#87 | L 6–25 | Western Kentucky -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 3 | 6 | @ Delaware#79 | W 27–24 | Western Kentucky +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Missouri State#98 | W 27–22 | Western Kentucky -5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Nevada#113 | W 31–16 | Western Kentucky -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Toledo#48 | L 21–45 | Western Kentucky +14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs NAL North Alabama Lions | W 55–6 | No line | — |
| Aug 23 | 1 | vs Sam Houston State#133 | W 41–24 | Western Kentucky -24.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.