
CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON
Western Kentucky
#116
BBMI rank
+13.8
Rating
4.6–7.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
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Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Western Kentucky
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Middle Tennessee
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
41%
Outright win probability
Western Kentucky 41%Middle Tennessee 59%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
at NevadaL 14–49#10651%
Sep 12
at GeorgiaL 20–70#713–481%
Sep 19
at IndianaL 0–38#215–440%
Sep 26
vs MercyhurstW 52–7
Oct 1
at New Mexico StateL 13–34#11425–3242%
Oct 8
vs Missouri StateW 34–13#12725–3070%
Oct 14
at Sam Houston StateW 16–3#13725–2949%
Oct 27
vs DelawareL 21–35#10729–2463%
Nov 7
at Middle TennesseeSat 2:30 PM#10141%
Nov 14
vs Jacksonville StateSat#5743%†
Nov 21
at LibertySat#386%†
Nov 28
vs Kennesaw StateSat#12277%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#90#100#110#120
#116
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 5 to #116, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
4.6
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-7.7#115
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.8#105
Yards per play margin-0.58#121
Turnover margin-0.44#83
Strength of schedule-0.5#97
BBMI picks on Western Kentucky
2026 • ATS2–2
Picks on Western Kentucky
2–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.