Team Pages/Conference USA/Western Kentucky
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CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Western Kentucky

Record 3-5vs line 4–3 ATSLast L 21–35 vs DelawareNext Nov 7 at Middle Tennessee
#116
BBMI rank
+13.8
Rating
4.6–7.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Western Kentucky logo
Western Kentucky
#116 • +13.8 • Conference USA
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Middle Tennessee
#101 • +13.3 • home
Middle Tennessee logo
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Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
41%
Outright win probability
Western Kentucky 41%Middle Tennessee 59%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Nevada logoat Nevada
L 14–49#10651%
Sep 12
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 20–70#713–481%
Sep 19
Indiana logoat Indiana
L 0–38#215–440%
Sep 26
Mercyhurst logovs Mercyhurst
W 52–7
Oct 1
New Mexico State logoat New Mexico State
L 13–34#11425–3242%
Oct 8
Missouri State logovs Missouri State
W 34–13#12725–3070%
Oct 14
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
W 16–3#13725–2949%
Oct 27
Delaware logovs Delaware
L 21–35#10729–2463%
Nov 7
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
Sat 2:30 PM#10141%
Nov 14
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
Sat#5743%†
Nov 21
Liberty logoat Liberty
Sat#386%†
Nov 28
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
Sat#12277%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#90#100#110#120
#116
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 5 to #116, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.6
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-7.7#115
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.8#105
Yards per play margin-0.58#121
Turnover margin-0.44#83
Strength of schedule-0.5#97

BBMI picks on Western Kentucky

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Western Kentucky
2–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.