Team Pages/SEC/Alabama
Alabama logo
SEC • 2026 SEASON

Alabama

Record 6-2vs line 3–5 ATSLast W 31–20 vs Texas A&MNext Nov 7 at LSU
#10
BBMI rank
+31.2
Rating
9.2–2.8
Proj record
33%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Alabama logo
Alabama
#10 • +31.2 • SEC
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
LSU
#20 • +31.5 • home
LSU logo
—
Model line
+4.5
Market line
—
Edge
29%
Outright win probability
Alabama 29%LSU 71%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
East Carolina logovs East Carolina
W 48–10#10097%
Sep 12
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
W 45–17#428–2670%
Sep 19
Florida State logovs Florida State
W 50–36#7132–2391%
Sep 26
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
W 49–18#3230–3177%
Oct 3
Mississippi State logoat Mississippi State
W 56–23#3533–3168%
Oct 10
Georgia logovs Georgia
L 17–20#727–3044%
Oct 17
Tennessee logoat Tennessee
L 10–26#1627–2564%
Oct 24
Texas A&M logovs Texas A&M
W 31–20#7233–1788%
Nov 7
LSU logoat LSU
Sat 2:30 PM#2029%
Nov 14
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
Sat#9698%†
Nov 21
Chattanooga logovs Chattanooga
Sat
Nov 28
Auburn logovs Auburn
Sat#3693%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#1#5#10#15
#10
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC3%
Make the 12-team field33%
Top-4 seed (bye)2%
Reach the semifinal9%
Win the national title1%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.2
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+10.7#7
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.3#15
Yards per play margin+1.98#30
Turnover margin+0.53#23
Strength of schedule+0.5#46

BBMI picks on Alabama

2026 • ATS
1–2
Picks on Alabama
2–3
Picks against
-2.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.