BBMI Rank · #19 of 136
Alabama
Record 11-4SECPower rating 25.0
Quality wins
7.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #36SP+ Off
32.2
36th
YPP diff
+0.52
73rd
TO margin
-0.29
66th
Defense
SP+ #11SP+ Def
16.1
11th
Q-Wins
7.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.3
103rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1 | 1 | N Indiana#1 | L 3–38 | Alabama +20.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Dec 20 | 1 | @ Oklahoma#10 | W 34–24 | Alabama +4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Dec 6 | 15 | N Georgia#3 | L 7–28 | Alabama +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | @ Auburn#75 | W 27–20 | Alabama -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs EIP Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 56–0 | No line | — |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vsOklahoma#10 | L 21–23 | Alabama -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs LSU#44 | W 20–9 | Alabama -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ South Carolina#88 | W 29–22 | Alabama -11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Tennessee#59 | W 37–20 | Alabama -15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Missouri#57 | W 27–24 | Alabama -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Vanderbilt#40 | W 30–14 | Alabama -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @Georgia#3 | W 24–21 | Alabama +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Wisconsin#110 | W 38–14 | Alabama -28.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs LM Louisiana Monroe#131 | W 73–0 | Alabama -36.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Florida State#47 | L 17–31 | Alabama +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.