
SEC • 2026 SEASON
Alabama
#10
BBMI rank
+31.2
Rating
9.2–2.8
Proj record
33%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Alabama
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
LSU
—
Model line
+4.5
Market line
—
Edge
29%
Outright win probability
Alabama 29%LSU 71%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs East CarolinaW 48–10#10097%
Sep 12
at KentuckyW 45–17#428–2670%
Sep 19
vs Florida StateW 50–36#7132–2391%
Sep 26
vs South CarolinaW 49–18#3230–3177%
Oct 3
at Mississippi StateW 56–23#3533–3168%
Oct 10
vs GeorgiaL 17–20#727–3044%
Oct 17
at TennesseeL 10–26#1627–2564%
Oct 24
vs Texas A&MW 31–20#7233–1788%
Nov 7
at LSUSat 2:30 PM#2029%
Nov 14
at VanderbiltSat#9698%†
Nov 21
vs ChattanoogaSat
Nov 28
vs AuburnSat#3693%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#1#5#10#15
#10
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win SEC3%
Make the 12-team field33%
Top-4 seed (bye)2%
Reach the semifinal9%
Win the national title1%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.2
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+10.7#7
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.3#15
Yards per play margin+1.98#30
Turnover margin+0.53#23
Strength of schedule+0.5#46
BBMI picks on Alabama
2026 • ATS1–2
Picks on Alabama
2–3
Picks against
-2.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.