SEC • 2026 SEASON
Alabama
#14
BBMI rank
+29.9
Rating
8.1–3.9
Proj record
32%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →
Florida State
SAT SEP 19 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Alabama
—
Model line
-17.5
Market line
—
Edge
82%
Win probability
Alabama 82%Florida State 18%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs East CarolinaW 48–10#8597%
vs East CarolinaSep 12
at KentuckyW 45–17#5828–2670%
at KentuckySep 19vs Florida StateSat 2:30 PM#3382%
vs Florida StateSep 26
vs South CarolinaSat#2473%
vs South CarolinaOct 3
at Mississippi StateSat#4068%
at Mississippi StateOct 10
vs GeorgiaSat#437%
vs GeorgiaOct 17
at TennesseeSat#1137%
at TennesseeOct 24
vs Texas A&MSat#951%
vs Texas A&MNov 7
at LSUSat#823%
at LSUNov 14
at VanderbiltSat#2960%
at VanderbiltNov 21
vs ChattanoogaSat
vs ChattanoogaNov 28
vs AuburnSat#2675%
vs AuburnRanking over time
2026 season · place of 136#13#14#15#16#17#18
#15
Sep 1Sep 8
2 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The rank held, measured against the ranking published Sep 7.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Win SEC5%
Make the 12-team field32%
Top-4 seed (bye)8%
Reach the semifinal8%
Win the national title1%
Regular-season wins
middle half of sims8.1
567891011
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+5.3#32
Defense (pts vs avg)-13.1#6
Yards per play margin+3.95#15
Turnover margin-0.88#86
Strength of schedule+2.3#15
BBMI picks on Alabama
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on Alabama
0–2
Picks against
-2.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.