Team Pages/American Athletic/Memphis
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AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

Memphis

Record 6-2vs line 3–4 ATSLast W 41–34 vs East CarolinaNext Oct 31 vs Army
#44
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
8.9–3.1
Proj record
1%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Army logo
Army
#55 • +20.6 • American Athletic
SAT OCT 31 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Memphis
#44 • +22.6 • home
Memphis logo
—
Model line
-6.0
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
UNLV logoat UNLV
W 27–21#68
Sep 5
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
W 42–24#9293%
Sep 12
Boise State logoat Boise State
L 20–38#1930–2436%
Sep 19
UM
vs UT Martin
W 45–21
Oct 3
Charlotte logoat Charlotte
W 59–8#13230–2199%
Oct 10
UAB logovs UAB
W 38–13#9128–2292%
Oct 16
Tulane logoat Tulane
L 17–31#8727–1984%
Oct 22
East Carolina logovs East Carolina
W 41–34#10034–1886%
Oct 31
Army logovs Army
Sat 7:00 PM#55Premium
Nov 12
South Florida logoat South Florida
Thu#6154%†
Nov 21
Navy logoat Navy
Sat#10570%†
Nov 27
Temple logovs Temple
Fri#11289%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#50#60
#44
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #44, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic17%
Make the 12-team field1%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.9
67891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+7.3#21
Defense (pts vs avg)+0.7#72
Yards per play margin+2.30#20
Turnover margin+0.06#49
Strength of schedule-0.2#76

BBMI picks on Memphis

2026 • ATS
3–3
Picks on Memphis
0–1
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.