Team Pages/Conference USA/Liberty
Liberty logo
CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Liberty

Record 6-1vs line 6–0 ATSLast W 34–6 at Kennesaw StateNext Oct 31 vs FIU
#38
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
10.5–1.5
Proj record
8%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
FIU logo
FIU
#109 • +17.0 • Conference USA
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Liberty
#38 • +22.6 • home
Liberty logo
—
Model line
-14.0
Market line
—
Edge
89%
Outright win probability
Liberty 89%FIU 11%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
James Madison logoat James Madison
L 13–20#3024%
Sep 12
Gardner-Webb logovs Gardner-Webb
W 24–23
Sep 19
Ball State logovs Ball State
W 51–15#11925–2297%
Sep 24
Coastal Carolina logoat Coastal Carolina
W 34–17#11823–2265%
Oct 2
Delaware logoat Delaware
W 30–14#10726–2185%
Oct 8
Sam Houston State logovs Sam Houston State
W 35–3#13726–2398%
Oct 22
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
W 34–6#12227–1679%
Oct 31
FIU logovs FIU
Sat 2:30 PM#10989%
Nov 7
New Mexico State logoat New Mexico State
Sat 7:00 PM#11486%
Nov 14
Middle Tennessee logovs Middle Tennessee
Sat#10195%†
Nov 21
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
Sat#11694%†
Nov 28
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
Sat#12783%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#60#80
#38
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Conference USA82%
Make the 12-team field8%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
89101112
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 11 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 9 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+2.0#56
Defense (pts vs avg)-4.9#34
Yards per play margin+2.52#14
Turnover margin+0.66#12
Strength of schedule-1.0#124

BBMI picks on Liberty

2026 • ATS
5–0
Picks on Liberty
1–0
Picks against
+5.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.