BBMI Rank · #106 of 136
Liberty
Record 4-8Conference USAPower rating 14.3
Quality wins
-4.5
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #88SP+ Off
24.6
88th
YPP diff
+0.31
80th
TO margin
-1.05
113th
Defense
SP+ #104SP+ Def
32.8
104th
Q-Wins
-4.5
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.7
87th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Kennesaw State#76 | L 42–48 | Liberty +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Louisiana Tech#74 | L 28–34 | Liberty +15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ F FIU#87 | L 27–34 | Liberty +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Missouri State#98 | L 17–21 | Liberty -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Delaware#79 | W 59–30 | Liberty +1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 14 | 8 | vs New Mexico State#112 | W 30–27 | Liberty -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 9 | 7 | @ UTEP#127 | W 19–8 | Liberty -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Old Dominion#45 | L 7–21 | Liberty +19.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs James Madison#37 | L 13–31 | Liberty +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Bowling Green#93 | L 13–23 | Liberty +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Jacksonville State#64 | L 24–34 | Liberty +14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs MBB Maine Black Bears | W 28–7 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.