Team Pages/SEC/Florida
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SEC • 2026 SEASON

Florida

Record 5-2vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 27–24 at TexasNext Oct 31 at Georgia
#23
BBMI rank
+24.7
Rating
7.9–4.1
Proj record
2%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Florida logo
Florida
#23 • +24.7 • SEC
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Georgia
#7 • +34.4 • neutral
Georgia logo
—
Model line
+12.5
Market line
—
Edge
10%
Outright win probability
Florida 10%Georgia 90%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Florida Atlantic logovs Florida Atlantic
W 66–21#8198%
Sep 12
Campbell logovs Campbell
W 52–3
Sep 19
Auburn logoat Auburn
W 44–39#3639–2760%
Sep 26
Ole Miss logovs Ole Miss
W 52–28#1537–3078%
Oct 3
Missouri logoat Missouri
L 17–45#2836–2970%
Oct 10
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
L 19–38#3236–3295%
Oct 17
Texas logoat Texas
W 27–24#1228–3010%
Oct 31
Georgia logovs Georgia
Sat 2:30 PM#710%
Nov 7
Oklahoma logovs Oklahoma
Sat 6:45 PM#3475%
Nov 14
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
Sat#437%†
Nov 21
Vanderbilt logovs Vanderbilt
Sat#9697%†
Nov 27
Florida State logoat Florida State
Fri#7163%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#10#15#20#25#30
#23
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC0%
Make the 12-team field2%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.9
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+7.0#24
Defense (pts vs avg)-2.4#50
Yards per play margin-0.06#100
Turnover margin0.00#52
Strength of schedule+1.0#17

BBMI picks on Florida

2026 • ATS
3–2
Picks on Florida
0–1
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.