BBMI Rank · #70 of 136
Utah State
Record 6-7Mountain WestPower rating 18.9
Quality wins
-3.5
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #53SP+ Off
29.5
53rd
YPP diff
+1.11
47th
TO margin
+0.26
30th
Defense
SP+ #98SP+ Def
31.2
98th
Q-Wins
-3.5
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.4
111th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22 | 1 | N Washington State#58 | L 21–34 | Utah State +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 28 | 14 | vs Boise State#51 | L 24–25 | Utah State -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ Fresno State#36 | W 28–17 | Utah State +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | @ UNLV#42 | L 26–29 | Utah State +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs Nevada#113 | W 51–14 | Utah State -16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ New Mexico#52 | L 14–33 | Utah State +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs San Jose State#114 | W 30–25 | Utah State -16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 12 | 7 | @ Hawaii#46 | L 26–44 | Utah State +14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Vanderbilt#40 | L 35–55 | Utah State +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | vs MC McNeese Cowboys | W 48–7 | No line | — |
| Sep 14 | 3 | vs Air Force#95 | W 49–30 | Utah State -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Texas A&M#20 | L 22–44 | Utah State +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs UTEP#127 | W 28–16 | Utah State -20.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.