BBMI Rank · #97 of 138
Utah State
Record 0-0Pac-12Power rating 15.5
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #87SP+ Off
23.7
87th
YPP diff
0.00
97th
TO margin
0.00
97th
Defense
SP+ #100SP+ Def
30.9
100th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.5
117th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Idaho State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Washington#21 | +24 | Utah State +24 | 10% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Utah#25 | +21.5 | Utah State +21.5 | 12% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Troy#87 | -0.5 | Utah State -0.5 | 51% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Boise State#39 | +16.5 | Utah State +16.5 | 19% |
| Oct 9 | 6 | vs Washington State#88 | +0.5 | Utah State +0.5 | 49% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Texas State#89 | +4 | Utah State +4 | 42% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Colorado State#102 | -2.5 | Utah State -2.5 | 56% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Fresno State#82 | +3.5 | Utah State +3.5 | 43% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ San Diego State#72 | +8.5 | Utah State +8.5 | 33% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Oregon State#94 | +3.5 | Utah State +3.5 | 43% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.