Team Pages/Pac-12/Utah State
Utah State logo
PAC-12 • 2026 SEASON

Utah State

Record 2-5vs line 1–5 ATSLast L 17–20 at Texas StateNext Oct 31 vs Colorado State
#120
BBMI rank
+13.0
Rating
3.3–7.7
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Colorado State logo
Colorado State
#111 • +13.3 • Pac-12
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Utah State
#120 • +13.0 • home
Utah State logo
—
Model line
-6.5
Market line
—
Edge
70%
Outright win probability
Utah State 70%Colorado State 30%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Idaho State logovs Idaho State
L 17–29
Sep 12
Washington logoat Washington
L 14–16#6218–281%
Sep 19
Utah logoat Utah
L 0–33#818–371%
Sep 26
Troy logovs Troy
W 21–10#12419–2552%
Oct 3
Boise State logoat Boise State
L 18–37#1919–282%
Oct 9
Washington State logovs Washington State
W 17–16#13019–2069%
Oct 24
Texas State logoat Texas State
L 17–20#8220–399%
Oct 31
Colorado State logovs Colorado State
Sat 2:30 PM#11170%
Nov 7
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
Sat 8:30 PM#7524%
Nov 14
San Diego State logoat San Diego State
Sat#9827%†
Nov 21
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
Sat#426%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#100#110#120
#120
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #120, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Pac-120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
3.3
123456
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 2 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-9.3#124
Defense (pts vs avg)0.0#67
Yards per play margin+0.40#91
Turnover margin-0.27#69
Strength of schedule-0.5#96

BBMI picks on Utah State

2026 • ATS
0–1
Picks on Utah State
1–4
Picks against
-4.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.