BBMI Rank · #47 of 136
Florida State
Record 5-7ACCPower rating 21.8
Quality wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #54SP+ Off
29.3
54th
YPP diff
+2.69
6th
TO margin
-1.34
124th
Defense
SP+ #38SP+ Def
21.2
38th
Q-Wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.8
90th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Florida#73 | L 21–40 | Florida State +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ NC State#27 | L 11–21 | Florida State +11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | vs Virginia Tech#121 | W 34–14 | Florida State -30.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | @ Clemson#28 | L 10–24 | Florida State -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Wake Forest#55 | W 42–7 | Florida State -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 19 | 8 | @ Stanford#119 | L 13–20 | Florida State -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Pittsburgh#50 | L 31–34 | Florida State -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Miami (FL)#7 | L 22–28 | Florida State +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 26 | 5 | @ Virginia#16 | L 38–46 | Florida State +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Kent State#116 | W 66–10 | Florida State -28.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs ETA East Texas A&M Lions | W 77–3 | No line | — |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs Alabama#19 | W 31–17 | Florida State -7.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.