Team Pages/ACC/Florida State
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ACC • 2026 SEASON

Florida State

Record 3-4vs line 2–4 ATSLast L 35–43 at Miami (FL)Next Oct 31 vs Clemson
#71
BBMI rank
+18.8
Rating
5.4–6.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Clemson logo
Clemson
#65 • +19.1 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Florida State
#71 • +18.8 • home
Florida State logo
—
Model line
-6.0
Market line
—
Edge
70%
Outright win probability
Florida State 70%Clemson 30%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 34–17#11430–2299%
Sep 7
SMU logovs SMU
L 24–27#2156%
Sep 19
Alabama logoat Alabama
L 36–50#1023–329%
Sep 26
Central Arkansas logovs Central Arkansas
W 34–7
Oct 3
Virginia logovs Virginia
W 38–7#8323–3027%
Oct 9
Louisville logoat Louisville
L 20–44#4029–2827%
Oct 17
Miami (FL) logoat Miami (FL)
L 35–43#121–331%
Oct 31
Clemson logovs Clemson
Sat 6:00 PM#6570%
Nov 7
Boston College logoat Boston College
Sat 11:00 AM#5942%
Nov 13
Pittsburgh logoat Pittsburgh
Fri#5019%†
Nov 21
NC State logovs NC State
Sat#8873%†
Nov 27
Florida logovs Florida
Fri#2337%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#60
#71
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #71, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5.4
345678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+6.2#32
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.2#76
Yards per play margin-0.56#120
Turnover margin-1.16#121
Strength of schedule+0.3#52

BBMI picks on Florida State

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on Florida State
1–3
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.