BBMI Rank · #35 of 138
Florida State
Record 0-0ACCPower rating 25.0
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #45SP+ Off
29.7
45th
YPP diff
0.00
35th
TO margin
0.00
35th
Defense
SP+ #30SP+ Def
20.6
30th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.3
94th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs New Mexico State#123 | -27 | Florida State -27 | 93% |
| Sep 7 | 1 | vs SMU#29 | 0 | Florida State 0 | 50% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Alabama#11 | +11.5 | Florida State +11.5 | 27% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Central Arkansas | — | No line | — |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Virginia#41 | -4 | Florida State -4 | 59% |
| Oct 9 | 6 | @ Louisville#26 | +4 | Florida State +4 | 41% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Miami (FL)#8 | +14 | Florida State +14 | 22% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Clemson#23 | +2 | Florida State +2 | 46% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Boston College#71 | -8.5 | Florida State -8.5 | 67% |
| Nov 13 | 11 | @ Pittsburgh#40 | -0.5 | Florida State -0.5 | 51% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs NC State#47 | -6 | Florida State -6 | 62% |
| Nov 27 | 13 | vs Florida#19 | +4 | Florida State +4 | 41% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.