Team Pages/SEC/Kentucky
Kentucky logo
SEC • 2026 SEASON

Kentucky

Record 7-1vs line 2–5 ATSLast W 34–17 vs VanderbiltNext Nov 7 at Tennessee
#4
BBMI rank
+26.2
Rating
8.7–3.3
Proj record
19%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Kentucky logo
Kentucky
#4 • +26.2 • SEC
SAT NOV 7 • 5:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Tennessee
#16 • +29.7 • home
Tennessee logo
—
Model line
+6.0
Market line
—
Edge
24%
Outright win probability
Kentucky 24%Tennessee 76%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Youngstown State logovs Youngstown State
W 45–13
Sep 12
Alabama logovs Alabama
L 17–45#1026–2830%
Sep 19
Texas A&M logoat Texas A&M
W 31–21#7221–342%
Sep 26
South Alabama logovs South Alabama
W 45–21#9426–2896%
Oct 3
South Carolina logoat South Carolina
W 35–34#3228–3031%
Oct 10
LSU logovs LSU
W 35–34#2027–3613%
Oct 17
Oklahoma logoat Oklahoma
W 21–13#3423–2324%
Oct 24
Vanderbilt logovs Vanderbilt
W 34–17#9631–2177%
Nov 7
Tennessee logoat Tennessee
Sat 5:15 PM#1624%
Nov 14
Florida logovs Florida
Sat#2363%†
Nov 21
Missouri logoat Missouri
Sat#2830%†
Nov 28
Louisville logovs Louisville
Sat#4054%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#20#40
#4
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC3%
Make the 12-team field19%
Top-4 seed (bye)2%
Reach the semifinal2%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.7
67891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+6.8#27
Defense (pts vs avg)-3.6#38
Yards per play margin+1.14#51
Turnover margin+2.03#1
Strength of schedule+1.5#3

BBMI picks on Kentucky

2026 • ATS
2–1
Picks on Kentucky
0–4
Picks against
-3.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.