BBMI Rank · #44 of 138
Arizona State
Record 0-0Big 12Power rating 23.6
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #57SP+ Off
28.2
57th
YPP diff
0.00
44th
TO margin
0.00
44th
Defense
SP+ #36SP+ Def
21.2
36th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.6
128th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Morgan State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Texas A&M#9 | +16 | Arizona State +16 | 20% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | N Kansas#53 | -2.5 | Arizona State -2.5 | 56% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Baylor#48 | -4 | Arizona State -4 | 58% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Hawaii#83 | -12.5 | Arizona State -12.5 | 75% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Texas Tech#7 | +18.5 | Arizona State +18.5 | 16% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Kansas State#28 | +2 | Arizona State +2 | 46% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ BYU#18 | +11 | Arizona State +11 | 28% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Colorado#64 | -7.5 | Arizona State -7.5 | 66% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ UCF#60 | -2 | Arizona State -2 | 55% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Oklahoma State#38 | -1.5 | Arizona State -1.5 | 53% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Arizona#31 | +6 | Arizona State +6 | 38% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.