BBMI Rank · #69 of 136
Arizona State
Record 8-5Big 12Power rating 19.0
Quality wins
-2.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #59SP+ Off
28.3
59th
YPP diff
+1.25
42nd
TO margin
-1.84
130th
Defense
SP+ #45SP+ Def
22.7
45th
Q-Wins
-2.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.7
125th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 1 | N Duke#25 | L 39–42 | Arizona State +8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Arizona#35 | L 7–23 | Arizona State +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ Colorado#109 | W 42–17 | Arizona State -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs West Virginia#105 | W 25–23 | Arizona State -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Iowa State#17 | W 24–19 | Arizona State +15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 26 | 9 | vs Houston#23 | L 16–24 | Arizona State +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Texas Tech#4 | W 26–22 | Arizona State +18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 12 | 7 | @ Utah#39 | L 10–42 | Arizona State +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs TCU#21 | W 27–24 | Arizona State +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Baylor#91 | W 27–24 | Arizona State -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 14 | 3 | vs Texas State#54 | W 34–15 | Arizona State +1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Mississippi State#72 | L 20–24 | Arizona State +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 31 | 1 | vs NAL Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 38–19 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.