BBMI Rank · #81 of 136
Southern Miss
Record 7-6Sun BeltPower rating 16.7
Quality wins
0.4
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #69SP+ Off
27.0
69th
YPP diff
-0.39
100th
TO margin
+0.70
16th
Defense
SP+ #103SP+ Def
32.8
103rd
Q-Wins
0.4
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.3
106th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23 | 1 | N Western Kentucky#61 | L 16–27 | Southern Miss +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Troy#90 | L 18–28 | Southern Miss -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ South Alabama#96 | L 35–42 | Southern Miss -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Texas State#54 | L 14–41 | Southern Miss +8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ Arkansas State#100 | W 27–21 | Southern Miss +2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs LM Louisiana Monroe#131 | W 49–21 | Southern Miss -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Louisiana#92 | W 22–10 | Southern Miss -0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 10 | 7 | @ Georgia Southern#102 | W 38–35 | Southern Miss +1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Jacksonville State#64 | W 42–25 | Southern Miss +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Louisiana Tech#74 | L 20–30 | Southern Miss +11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs ASM App State Mountaineers | W 38–22 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs JST Jackson State Tigers | W 38–20 | No line | — |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs Mississippi State#72 | L 17–34 | Southern Miss +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.