Team Pages/Sun Belt/Southern Miss
Southern Miss logo
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON

Southern Miss

Record 2-5vs line 4–2 ATSLast W 35–31 vs LouisianaNext Oct 31 at Louisiana Monroe
#126
BBMI rank
+10.9
Rating
3.6–8.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Southern Miss logo
Southern Miss
#126 • +10.9 • Sun Belt
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Louisiana Monroe
#131 • +7.2 • home
Louisiana Monroe logo
—
Model line
-3.5
Market line
—
Edge
60%
Outright win probability
Southern Miss 60%Louisiana Monroe 40%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Alcorn State logovs Alcorn State
W 49–3
Sep 12
Auburn logoat Auburn
L 8–43#3639–181%
Sep 19
Connecticut logovs Connecticut
L 20–48#7827–3034%
Sep 26
Tulane logoat Tulane
L 21–24#8725–258%
Oct 6
Troy logoat Troy
L 34–55#12425–2718%
Oct 17
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
L 13–23#9226–2922%
Oct 24
Louisiana logovs Louisiana
W 35–31#7421–3221%
Oct 31
Louisiana Monroe logoat Louisiana Monroe
Sat 2:30 PM#13160%
Nov 5
James Madison logovs James Madison
Thu 7:00 PM#306%
Nov 14
Louisiana Tech logoat Louisiana Tech
Sat#587%†
Nov 21
South Alabama logovs South Alabama
Sat#9449%†
Nov 28
Old Dominion logoat Old Dominion
Sat#12137%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#120#122#124#126#128#130
#126
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #126, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Sun Belt0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
3.6
123456
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 2 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-6.3#108
Defense (pts vs avg)+9.7#129
Yards per play margin+1.06#57
Turnover margin-1.24#124
Strength of schedule-0.9#121

BBMI picks on Southern Miss

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on Southern Miss
4–2
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.