Team Pages/Big Ten/Purdue
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Purdue

Record 3-4vs line 4–2 ATSLast L 26–38 vs WashingtonNext Oct 31 at Penn State
#53
BBMI rank
+20.1
Rating
4.6–7.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Purdue logo
Purdue
#53 • +20.1 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 3:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Penn State
#73 • +20.3 • home
Penn State logo
—
Model line
+9.5
Market line
—
Edge
14%
Outright win probability
Purdue 14%Penn State 86%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 4
Indiana State logovs Indiana State
W 44–19
Sep 12
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 36–38#1329–2849%
Sep 19
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 38–52#528–319%
Sep 26
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
L 10–49#623–332%
Oct 3
Illinois logoat Illinois
W 24–17#5227–333%
Oct 10
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
W 41–13#4723–2916%
Oct 16
Washington logovs Washington
L 26–38#6225–2644%
Oct 31
Penn State logoat Penn State
Sat 3:15 PM#7314%
Nov 7
Maryland logovs Maryland
Sat 11:30 AM#10482%
Nov 14
Iowa logoat Iowa
Sat#2927%†
Nov 21
Wisconsin logovs Wisconsin
Sat#3137%†
Nov 28
Indiana logoat Indiana
Sat#23%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#70#80#90#100
#53
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #53, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.6
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+3.5#47
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.5#101
Yards per play margin+0.44#89
Turnover margin+0.71#9
Strength of schedule+0.8#30

BBMI picks on Purdue

2026 • ATS
1–0
Picks on Purdue
3–2
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.