BBMI Rank · #98 of 136
Missouri State
Record 7-6Conference USAPower rating 15.1
Quality wins
-6.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #79SP+ Off
25.6
79th
YPP diff
+0.65
65th
TO margin
-0.63
92nd
Defense
SP+ #119SP+ Def
34.8
119th
Q-Wins
-6.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.5
118th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19 | 1 | N Arkansas State#100 | L 28–34 | Missouri State -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Louisiana Tech#74 | L 30–42 | Missouri State +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Kennesaw State#76 | L 34–41 | Missouri State +11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs UTEP#127 | W 38–24 | Missouri State -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ Liberty#106 | W 21–17 | Missouri State +1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 30 | 10 | vs F FIU#87 | W 28–21 | Missouri State -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 23 | 9 | @ New Mexico State#112 | W 24–17 | Missouri State +4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 8 | 7 | @ Middle Tennessee#103 | W 22–20 | Missouri State -0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Western Kentucky#61 | L 22–27 | Missouri State +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs UMS UT Martin Skyhawks | W 42–10 | No line | — |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs SMU#11 | L 10–28 | Missouri State +18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Marshall#80 | W 21–20 | Missouri State +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ USC#13 | L 13–73 | Missouri State +29.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.