BBMI Rank · #126 of 138
Missouri State
Record 0-0Conference USAPower rating 8.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #122SP+ Off
16.7
122nd
YPP diff
0.00
126th
TO margin
0.00
126th
Defense
SP+ #121SP+ Def
34.9
121st
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.5
123rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | @ Texas A&M#9 | +41 | Missouri State +41 | 1% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Lindenwood | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Marshall#90 | +10.5 | Missouri State +10.5 | 29% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ SMU#29 | +31.5 | Missouri State +31.5 | 5% |
| Oct 8 | 6 | @ Western Kentucky#85 | +15.5 | Missouri State +15.5 | 20% |
| Oct 14 | 7 | vs Kennesaw State#105 | +7.5 | Missouri State +7.5 | 35% |
| Oct 20 | 8 | @ Delaware#113 | +7.5 | Missouri State +7.5 | 34% |
| Oct 27 | 9 | vs Sam Houston State#136 | -9.5 | Missouri State -9.5 | 70% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ F FIU#116 | +7 | Missouri State +7 | 35% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs New Mexico State#123 | +0.5 | Missouri State +0.5 | 49% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Jacksonville State#96 | +13 | Missouri State +13 | 24% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Liberty#91 | +10.5 | Missouri State +10.5 | 29% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.