Team Pages/Conference USA/Missouri State
Missouri State logo
CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Missouri State

Record 3-5vs line 3–4 ATSLast W 24–3 vs Sam Houston StateNext Nov 7 at FIU
#127
BBMI rank
+10.8
Rating
4.0–8.0
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Missouri State logo
Missouri State
#127 • +10.8 • Conference USA
SAT NOV 7 • 3:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
FIU
#109 • +17.0 • home
FIU logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
14%
Outright win probability
Missouri State 14%FIU 86%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Texas A&M logoat Texas A&M
L 0–50#721%
Sep 12
Lindenwood logovs Lindenwood
W 48–14
Sep 19
Marshall logovs Marshall
L 24–30#9926–2151%
Sep 26
SMU logoat SMU
L 24–34#2124–311%
Oct 8
Western Kentucky logoat Western Kentucky
L 13–34#11630–2530%
Oct 14
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
W 24–21#12222–2629%
Oct 20
Delaware logoat Delaware
L 38–61#10723–2523%
Oct 27
Sam Houston State logovs Sam Houston State
W 24–3#13729–2074%
Nov 7
FIU logoat FIU
Sat 3:00 PM#10914%
Nov 14
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
Sat#11463%†
Nov 21
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
Sat#579%†
Nov 28
Liberty logovs Liberty
Sat#3817%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#125#130
#127
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #127, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.0
23456
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-7.5#114
Defense (pts vs avg)+9.5#128
Yards per play margin+0.50#86
Turnover margin-0.55#91
Strength of schedule-0.2#77

BBMI picks on Missouri State

2026 • ATS
1–2
Picks on Missouri State
2–2
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.