
ACC • 2026 SEASON
Miami (FL)
#1
BBMI rank
+34.9
Rating
11.3–0.7
Proj record
100%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Miami (FL)
SAT OCT 31 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
North Carolina
—
Model line
-14.0
Market line
—
Edge
92%
Outright win probability
Miami (FL) 92%North Carolina 8%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 4
at StanfordW 45–6#10292%
Sep 10
vs Florida A&MW 77–7
Sep 18
at Wake ForestW 33–20#1340–2492%
Sep 26
vs Central MichiganW 52–3#12530–15100%
Oct 3
at ClemsonW 41–13#6533–1790%
Oct 17
vs Florida StateW 43–35#7133–2199%
Oct 24
vs PittsburghW 52–23#5040–1596%
Oct 31
at North CarolinaSat 6:30 PM#4692%
Nov 7
at Notre DameSat 6:30 PM#645%
Nov 14
vs DukeSat#4397%†
Nov 21
vs Virginia TechSat#4595%†
Nov 28
vs Boston CollegeSat#5998%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#2#4#6#8#10
#1
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win ACC100%
Make the 12-team field100%
Top-4 seed (bye)72%
Reach the semifinal65%
Win the national title25%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
11.3
910111213
Middle half of the simulations: 11 to 12 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 10 to 12. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+14.4#1
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.3#14
Yards per play margin+2.75#10
Turnover margin+1.15#4
Strength of schedule+0.6#43
BBMI picks on Miami (FL)
2026 • ATS2–1
Picks on Miami (FL)
1–2
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.