BBMI Rank · #99 of 138
Arkansas State
Record 0-0Sun BeltPower rating 15.1
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #88SP+ Off
23.7
88th
YPP diff
0.00
99th
TO margin
0.00
99th
Defense
SP+ #111SP+ Def
32.3
111th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.1
69th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | @ Memphis#70 | +9.5 | Arkansas State +9.5 | 31% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs West Georgia | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ TCU#34 | +19.5 | Arkansas State +19.5 | 15% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Kennesaw State#105 | -3 | Arkansas State -3 | 56% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Louisiana#104 | +1.5 | Arkansas State +1.5 | 47% |
| Oct 8 | 6 | vs South Alabama#115 | -7 | Arkansas State -7 | 64% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Southern Miss#131 | -13 | Arkansas State -13 | 75% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Georgia State#132 | -18.5 | Arkansas State -18.5 | 84% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs LM Louisiana Monroe#133 | -18 | Arkansas State -18 | 83% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Coastal Carolina#118 | -3.5 | Arkansas State -3.5 | 57% |
| Nov 19 | 12 | @ Louisiana Tech#101 | +2 | Arkansas State +2 | 45% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Troy#87 | +0.5 | Arkansas State +0.5 | 49% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.