
CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON
New Mexico State
#114
BBMI rank
+12.9
Rating
4.4–7.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Liberty
SAT NOV 7 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
New Mexico State
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
14%
Outright win probability
New Mexico State 14%Liberty 86%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
at Florida StateL 17–34#7122–301%
Sep 5
vs MercyhurstW 51–14
Sep 12
at HawaiiL 19–29#12331–236%
Sep 26
vs New MexicoL 18–42#2720–287%
Oct 1
vs Western KentuckyW 34–13#11632–2558%
Oct 7
at FIUL 3–22#10922–2316%
Oct 21
at Sam Houston StateW 30–24#13722–2250%
Oct 28
vs Jacksonville StateL 0–24#5721–2538%
Nov 7
vs LibertySat 7:00 PM#3814%
Nov 14
at Missouri StateSat#12737%†
Nov 21
vs DelawareSat#10754%†
Nov 28
at Middle TennesseeSat#10135%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#115#120#125
#114
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #114, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
4.4
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-9.2#122
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.3#100
Yards per play margin+0.76#72
Turnover margin-1.03#114
Strength of schedule-0.6#101
BBMI picks on New Mexico State
2026 • ATS1–0
Picks on New Mexico State
4–2
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.