BBMI Rank · #123 of 138
New Mexico State
Record 0-0Conference USAPower rating 9.8
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #119SP+ Off
17.0
119th
YPP diff
0.00
123rd
TO margin
0.00
123rd
Defense
SP+ #113SP+ Def
33.4
113th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.1
83rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | @ Florida State#35 | +27 | New Mexico State +27 | 7% |
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Mercyhurst | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Hawaii#83 | +14.5 | New Mexico State +14.5 | 22% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs New Mexico#68 | +14 | New Mexico State +14 | 23% |
| Oct 1 | 5 | vs Western Kentucky#85 | +9 | New Mexico State +9 | 31% |
| Oct 7 | 6 | @ F FIU#116 | +4.5 | New Mexico State +4.5 | 40% |
| Oct 21 | 8 | @ Sam Houston State#136 | -8 | New Mexico State -8 | 66% |
| Oct 28 | 9 | vs Jacksonville State#96 | +6.5 | New Mexico State +6.5 | 36% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Liberty#91 | +8 | New Mexico State +8 | 33% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Missouri State#126 | -0.5 | New Mexico State -0.5 | 51% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Delaware#113 | +1.5 | New Mexico State +1.5 | 47% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Middle Tennessee#135 | -7.5 | New Mexico State -7.5 | 66% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.