Team Pages/Conference USA/New Mexico State
New Mexico State logo
CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

New Mexico State

Record 3-5vs line 5–2 ATSLast L 0–24 vs Jacksonville StateNext Nov 7 vs Liberty
#114
BBMI rank
+12.9
Rating
4.4–7.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Liberty logo
Liberty
#38 • +22.6 • Conference USA
SAT NOV 7 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
New Mexico State
#114 • +12.9 • home
New Mexico State logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
14%
Outright win probability
New Mexico State 14%Liberty 86%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 17–34#7122–301%
Sep 5
Mercyhurst logovs Mercyhurst
W 51–14
Sep 12
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
L 19–29#12331–236%
Sep 26
New Mexico logovs New Mexico
L 18–42#2720–287%
Oct 1
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
W 34–13#11632–2558%
Oct 7
FIU logoat FIU
L 3–22#10922–2316%
Oct 21
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
W 30–24#13722–2250%
Oct 28
Jacksonville State logovs Jacksonville State
L 0–24#5721–2538%
Nov 7
Liberty logovs Liberty
Sat 7:00 PM#3814%
Nov 14
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
Sat#12737%†
Nov 21
Delaware logovs Delaware
Sat#10754%†
Nov 28
Middle Tennessee logoat Middle Tennessee
Sat#10135%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#115#120#125
#114
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #114, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.4
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-9.2#122
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.3#100
Yards per play margin+0.76#72
Turnover margin-1.03#114
Strength of schedule-0.6#101

BBMI picks on New Mexico State

2026 • ATS
1–0
Picks on New Mexico State
4–2
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.