BBMI Rank · #82 of 138
Fresno State
Record 0-0Pac-12Power rating 18.3
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #106SP+ Off
20.6
106th
YPP diff
0.00
82nd
TO margin
0.00
82nd
Defense
SP+ #47SP+ Def
22.9
47th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
—
—
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | 1 | @ USC#13 | +21 | Fresno State +21 | 13% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Sacramento State#130 | -22.5 | Fresno State -22.5 | 89% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ San Jose State#122 | -11 | Fresno State -11 | 73% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Rice#120 | -14.5 | Fresno State -14.5 | 78% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Washington State#88 | -1 | Fresno State -1 | 52% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Boise State#39 | +7 | Fresno State +7 | 35% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ San Diego State#72 | +3 | Fresno State +3 | 44% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Oregon State#94 | -6 | Fresno State -6 | 63% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Utah State#97 | -3.5 | Fresno State -3.5 | 57% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Texas State#89 | -1.5 | Fresno State -1.5 | 53% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Colorado State#102 | -8 | Fresno State -8 | 67% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.