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Fresno State logo
BBMI Rank · #36 of 136

Fresno State

Record 9-4Mountain WestPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
1.2
vs top 25

Offense

SP+ #100
SP+ Off
23.0
100th
YPP diff
+1.90
18th
TO margin
+0.88
10th

Defense

SP+ #37
SP+ Def
21.1
37th
Q-Wins
1.2
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.1
77th

Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

Schedule & BBMI picks

DateWkOpponentFinalBBMI pickATS
Dec 271NMiami (OH) logoMiami (OH)#65W 18–3Fresno State -4.5✓ Covered
Nov 3014@San Jose State logoSan Jose State#114W 41–14Fresno State -9.5✓ Covered
Nov 2313vsUtah State logoUtah State#70L 17–28Fresno State -7.5✗ Lost
Nov 1612vsWyoming logoWyoming#107W 24–3Fresno State -15.5✓ Covered
Nov 110@Boise State logoBoise State#51W 30–7Fresno State +7.5✓ Covered
Oct 259vsSan Diego State logoSan Diego State#53L 0–23Fresno State -3.5✗ Lost
Oct 117@Colorado State logoColorado State#125L 21–49Fresno State -14.5✗ Lost
Oct 56vsNevada logoNevada#113W 20–17Fresno State -17.5✗ Lost
Sep 214@Hawaii logoHawaii#46W 23–21Fresno State +8.5✓ Covered
Sep 143vs
SJ
Southern Jaguars		W 56–7No line—
Sep 62@Oregon State logoOregon State#117W 36–27Fresno State -12.5✗ Lost
Aug 311vsGeorgia Southern logoGeorgia Southern#102W 42–14Fresno State -15.5✓ Covered
Aug 231@Kansas logoKansas#71L 7–31Fresno State -0.5✗ Lost
How these ratings are built

BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.

The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.