SEC • 2026 SEASON
Texas
#6
BBMI rank
+33.6
Rating
8.8–3.2
Proj record
63%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →U
UTSA
SAT SEP 19 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Texas
—
Model line
-29.5
Market line
—
Edge
99%
Win probability
Texas 99%UTSA 1%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Texas StateW 59–7#8198%
vs Texas StateSep 12
vs Ohio StateW 24–23#132–3251%
vs Ohio StateSep 19Sat 7:00 PM#7199%
U
vs UTSASep 26
at TennesseeSat#1157%
at TennesseeOct 10
vs OklahomaSat#1770%
vs OklahomaOct 17
vs FloridaSat#2287%
vs FloridaOct 24
vs Ole MissSat#1379%
vs Ole MissOct 31
vs Mississippi StateSat#4095%
vs Mississippi StateNov 7
at MissouriSat#1965%
at MissouriNov 14
at LSUSat#840%
at LSUNov 21
vs ArkansasSat#4897%
vs ArkansasNov 27
at Texas A&MFri#940%
at Texas A&MRanking over time
2026 season · place of 136#4#5#6#7#8
#6
Sep 1Sep 8
2 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The rank held, measured against the ranking published Sep 7.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Win SEC15%
Make the 12-team field63%
Top-4 seed (bye)32%
Reach the semifinal26%
Win the national title5%
Regular-season wins
middle half of sims8.8
56789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+11.6#9
Defense (pts vs avg)-11.2#10
Yards per play margin-1.04#104
Turnover margin+0.45#42
Strength of schedule+2.2#19
BBMI picks on Texas
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on Texas
1–1
Picks against
-0.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.