BBMI Rank · #8 of 136
Texas
Record 10-3SECPower rating 29.5
Quality wins
9.4
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #30SP+ Off
32.9
30th
YPP diff
+1.69
22nd
TO margin
+1.44
3rd
Defense
SP+ #18SP+ Def
17.9
18th
Q-Wins
9.4
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.2
31st
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 1 | N Michigan#29 | W 41–27 | Texas -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Texas A&M#20 | W 27–17 | Texas -16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Arkansas#85 | W 52–37 | Texas -30.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 16 | 12 | @ Georgia#3 | L 10–35 | Texas +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Vanderbilt#40 | W 34–31 | Texas -20.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Mississippi State#72 | W 45–38 | Texas -16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Kentucky#83 | W 16–13 | Texas -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | N Oklahoma#10 | W 23–6 | Texas -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Florida#73 | L 21–29 | Texas -11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | vs Sam Houston State#133 | W 55–0 | Texas -46.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs UTEP#127 | W 27–10 | Texas -40.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs San Jose State#114 | W 38–7 | Texas -36.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Ohio State#6 | L 7–14 | Texas +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.