Team Pages/SEC/Texas
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SEC • 2026 SEASON

Texas

Record 5-2vs line 3–4 ATSLast W 34–27 vs Ole MissNext Oct 31 vs Mississippi State
#12
BBMI rank
+28.8
Rating
8.3–3.7
Proj record
38%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Mississippi State logo
Mississippi State
#35 • +20.0 • SEC
SAT OCT 31 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Texas
#12 • +28.8 • home
Texas logo
—
Model line
-20.5
Market line
—
Edge
93%
Outright win probability
Texas 93%Mississippi State 7%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Texas State logovs Texas State
W 59–7#8298%
Sep 12
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
W 24–23#332–3251%
Sep 19
UTSA logovs UTSA
W 30–6#2534–3099%
Sep 26
Tennessee logoat Tennessee
W 20–17#1627–3049%
Oct 10
Oklahoma logovs Oklahoma
L 24–27#3424–1982%
Oct 17
Florida logovs Florida
L 24–27#2330–2890%
Oct 24
Ole Miss logovs Ole Miss
W 34–27#1533–2278%
Oct 31
Mississippi State logovs Mississippi State
Sat 6:30 PM#3593%
Nov 7
Missouri logoat Missouri
Sat 11:00 AM#2845%
Nov 14
LSU logoat LSU
Sat#2019%†
Nov 21
Arkansas logovs Arkansas
Sat#7797%†
Nov 27
Texas A&M logoat Texas A&M
Fri#7273%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#1#5#10#15#20
#12
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC1%
Make the 12-team field38%
Top-4 seed (bye)3%
Reach the semifinal5%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.3
67891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+8.1#16
Defense (pts vs avg)-11.4#7
Yards per play margin+2.29#21
Turnover margin-0.98#111
Strength of schedule+1.1#16

BBMI picks on Texas

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on Texas
2–1
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.