BBMI Rankings.
All 136 FBS teams from the 2025 season, rated on opponent-adjusted SP+ efficiency, yards-per-play differential, turnover margin, and quality wins — not record or reputation. The BBMI score is a neutral-field point rating: the projected margin against an average FBS team.
| Rank | Team | Conf | BBMI | Record | SP+ Off | SP+ Def | YPP Diff | TO Margin | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Indiana | Big Ten | +37.1 | 16–0 | 40.8 | 9.9 | +2.13 | +1.56 | +11.4 |
| 2 |  Oregon | Big Ten | +31.7 | 13–2 | 38.7 | 13.5 | +2.82 | -0.17 | +11.4 |
| 3 |  Georgia | SEC | +31.0 | 12–2 | 37.0 | 14.8 | +0.81 | +0.11 | +11.4 |
| 4▲1 |  Texas Tech | Big 12 | +31.0 | 12–2 | 39.3 | 12.3 | +2.33 | +0.48 | +11.3 |
| 5▼1 |  Ole Miss | SEC | +31.0 | 13–2 | 40.4 | 18.3 | +2.44 | +0.55 | +10.6 |
| 6▲1 |  Ohio State | Big Ten | +31.0 | 12–2 | 37.6 | 7.7 | +3.26 | -0.26 | +11.4 |
| 7▼1 |  Miami (FL) | ACC | +30.4 | 13–3 | 34.2 | 14.3 | +1.61 | +0.02 | +11.4 |
| 8 |  Texas | SEC | +29.5 | 10–3 | 32.9 | 17.9 | +1.69 | +1.44 | +9.4 |
| 9▲1 |  BYU | Big 12 | +28.1 | 12–2 | 33.9 | 18.8 | +0.84 | -0.30 | +11.4 |
| 10▼1 |  Oklahoma | SEC | +28.1 | 10–3 | 30.1 | 12.9 | +1.84 | -0.24 | +4.6 |
| 11 |  SMU | ACC | +27.7 | 9–4 | 34.2 | 19.5 | +2.45 | -0.39 | +11.4 |
| 12 |  Notre Dame | FBS Independents | +27.7 | 10–2 | 40.0 | 16.3 | +3.98 | +0.95 | +10.8 |
| 13 |  USC | Big Ten | +27.4 | 9–4 | 38.9 | 21.0 | +2.02 | -0.53 | +3.3 |
| 14 |  Illinois | Big Ten | +26.4 | 9–4 | 33.3 | 21.7 | +1.49 | +0.24 | +4.2 |
| 15 |  Louisville | ACC | +25.7 | 9–4 | 31.6 | 19.8 | +2.57 | -0.01 | +2.8 |
| 16 |  Virginia | ACC | +25.6 | 11–3 | 28.8 | 18.1 | +1.14 | -0.07 | -1.4 |
| 17 |  Iowa State | Big 12 | +25.0 | 8–4 | 28.1 | 19.5 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +6.8 |
| 18 |  Iowa | Big Ten | +25.0 | 9–4 | 32.1 | 14.2 | +0.96 | -0.57 | +2.3 |
| 19 |  Alabama | SEC | +25.0 | 11–4 | 32.2 | 16.1 | +0.52 | -0.29 | +7.6 |
| 20▲2 |  Texas A&M | SEC | +25.0 | 11–2 | 38.0 | 16.4 | +1.92 | -1.91 | +1.3 |
| 21▼1 |  TCU | Big 12 | +24.5 | 9–4 | 32.9 | 23.9 | +0.67 | -0.32 | +6.5 |
| 22▼1 |  Tulane | American Athletic | +24.3 | 11–3 | 32.4 | 27.6 | -0.13 | +0.75 | +5.2 |
| 23▲3 |  Houston | Big 12 | +24.3 | 10–3 | 31.5 | 23.0 | +0.67 | +0.24 | +2.8 |
| 24▲3 |  Washington | Big Ten | +24.3 | 9–4 | 34.5 | 15.3 | +2.23 | -0.01 | -2.2 |
| 25▼2 |  Duke | ACC | +23.9 | 9–5 | 34.8 | 29.2 | +0.72 | +0.92 | -3.3 |
Showing 25 of 136 FBS teams. BBMI = neutral-field point rating; SP+ via CollegeFootballData.com. There is no strength-of-schedule column — schedule strength is folded into the opponent-adjusted SP+, YPP, and quality-win figures.
How the BBMI football model rates teams
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Bill Connelly’s SP+ offense and defense ratings are the backbone — opponent-adjusted, points-per-drive metrics built on play-by-play data.
Yards-per-play differential. Recency-weighted YPP differential captures how efficiently a team moves the ball relative to its opponents, adjusted for schedule.
Turnover margin. Forcing turnovers while protecting the ball is one of the strongest predictors of against-the-spread performance in college football.
Quality wins. Wins over strong opponents are rewarded; bad losses are penalized. The BBMI score is a neutral-field point rating — the projected margin against an average FBS team.
Model correlation vs actual game margins: 0.721 (2025 season, 785 games). Out-of-sample ATS: 58.6% using 2024-trained weights on 2025 Vegas lines. SP+ ratings via CollegeFootballData.com.