BBMI Rankings.
All 138 FBS teams entering the 2026 season, rated on opponent-adjusted SP+ efficiency, yards-per-play differential, turnover margin, and quality wins — not record or reputation. The BBMI score is a neutral-field point rating: the projected margin against an average FBS team.
| Rank | Team | Conf | BBMI | Record | SP+ Off | SP+ Def | YPP Diff | TO Margin | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohio State | Big Ten | +37.6 | 0–0 | 40.6 | 8.8 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 2 |  Oregon | Big Ten | +35.9 | 0–0 | 40.7 | 12.6 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 3 |  Notre Dame | Independent | +34.6 | 0–0 | 40.2 | 14.6 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 4 |  Georgia | SEC | +34.4 | 0–0 | 38.2 | 13.3 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 5 |  Indiana | Big Ten | +33.7 | 0–0 | 37.4 | 13.5 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 6 |  Texas | SEC | +33.3 | 0–0 | 37.6 | 14.3 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 7 |  Texas Tech | Big 12 | +32.9 | 0–0 | 37.6 | 14.7 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 8 |  Miami (FL) | ACC | +31.7 | 0–0 | 34.4 | 13.7 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 9 |  Texas A&M | SEC | +31.3 | 0–0 | 37.3 | 16.7 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 10 |  LSU | SEC | +31.1 | 0–0 | 32.5 | 12.5 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 11 |  Alabama | SEC | +29.9 | 0–0 | 31.3 | 12.6 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 12 |  Oklahoma | SEC | +29.7 | 0–0 | 31.6 | 14.7 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 13 |  USC | Big Ten | +29.6 | 0–0 | 37.7 | 20.5 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 14 |  Tennessee | SEC | +29.5 | 0–0 | 38.7 | 23.0 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 15 |  Ole Miss | SEC | +29.3 | 0–0 | 35.0 | 19.7 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 16 |  Penn State | Big Ten | +29.0 | 0–0 | 33.6 | 18.6 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 17 |  Michigan | Big Ten | +28.9 | 0–0 | 32.8 | 16.2 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 18 |  BYU | Big 12 | +28.8 | 0–0 | 33.3 | 18.1 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 19 |  Florida | SEC | +28.4 | 0–0 | 30.2 | 15.9 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 20 |  Missouri | SEC | +28.1 | 0–0 | 32.2 | 16.9 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 21 |  Washington | Big Ten | +28.1 | 0–0 | 32.4 | 17.6 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 22 |  Iowa | Big Ten | +27.8 | 0–0 | 30.3 | 17.3 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 23 |  Clemson | ACC | +27.2 | 0–0 | 29.5 | 17.0 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 24 |  South Carolina | SEC | +26.9 | 0–0 | 29.9 | 18.4 | — | — | 0.0 |
| 25 |  Utah | Big 12 | +26.8 | 0–0 | 33.0 | 21.1 | — | — | 0.0 |
Showing 25 of 138 FBS teams. BBMI = neutral-field point rating; SP+ via CollegeFootballData.com. There is no strength-of-schedule column — schedule strength is folded into the opponent-adjusted SP+, YPP, and quality-win figures.
How the BBMI football model rates teams
Opponent-adjusted efficiency. Bill Connelly’s SP+ offense and defense ratings are the backbone — opponent-adjusted, points-per-drive metrics built on play-by-play data.
Yards-per-play differential. Recency-weighted YPP differential captures how efficiently a team moves the ball relative to its opponents, adjusted for schedule.
Turnover margin. Forcing turnovers while protecting the ball is one of the strongest predictors of against-the-spread performance in college football.
Quality wins. Wins over strong opponents are rewarded; bad losses are penalized. The BBMI score is a neutral-field point rating — the projected margin against an average FBS team.
Model correlation vs actual game margins: 0.721 (2025 season, 785 games). Out-of-sample ATS: 58.6% using 2024-trained weights on 2025 Vegas lines. SP+ ratings via CollegeFootballData.com.