BBMI Team Rankings

FBS teams ranked by BBMI's predictive model — built on SP+ efficiency, yards per play differential, turnover margin, and quality wins. Updated weekly after each round of games.

Rank	Team	Conference	BBMI	SP+ Off	SP+ Def	YPP Diff	TO Margin	Record
1	Indiana—	Big Ten	37.1	40.8	9.9	+2.13	+1.56	16-0
2	Oregon—	Big Ten	31.7	38.7	13.5	+2.82	-0.17	13-2
3	Georgia—	SEC	31.0	37.0	14.8	+0.81	+0.11	12-2
4	Texas Tech▲1	Big 12	31.0	39.3	12.3	+2.33	+0.48	12-2
5	Ole Miss▼1	SEC	31.0	40.4	18.3	+2.44	+0.55	13-2
6	Ohio State▲1	Big Ten	31.0	37.6	7.7	+3.26	-0.26	12-2
7	Miami (FL)▼1	ACC	30.4	34.2	14.3	+1.61	+0.02	13-3
8	Texas—	SEC	29.5	32.9	17.9	+1.69	+1.44	10-3
9	BYU▲1	Big 12	28.1	33.9	18.8	+0.84	-0.30	12-2
10	Oklahoma▼1	SEC	28.1	30.1	12.9	+1.84	-0.24	10-3
11	SMU—	ACC	27.7	34.2	19.5	+2.45	-0.39	9-4
12	Notre Dame—	FBS Independents	27.7	40.0	16.3	+3.98	+0.95	10-2
13	USC—	Big Ten	27.4	38.9	21.0	+2.02	-0.53	9-4
14	Illinois—	Big Ten	26.4	33.3	21.7	+1.49	+0.24	9-4
15	Louisville—	ACC	25.7	31.6	19.8	+2.57	-0.01	9-4
16	Virginia—	ACC	25.6	28.8	18.1	+1.14	-0.07	11-3
17	Iowa State—	Big 12	25.0	28.1	19.5	+0.55	+0.11	8-4
18	Iowa—	Big Ten	25.0	32.1	14.2	+0.96	-0.57	9-4
19	Alabama—	SEC	25.0	32.2	16.1	+0.52	-0.29	11-4
20	Texas A&M▲2	SEC	25.0	38.0	16.4	+1.92	-1.91	11-2
21	TCU▼1	Big 12	24.5	32.9	23.9	+0.67	-0.32	9-4
22	Tulane▼1	American Athletic	24.3	32.4	27.6	-0.13	+0.75	11-3
23	Houston▲3	Big 12	24.3	31.5	23.0	+0.67	+0.24	10-3
24	Washington▲3	Big Ten	24.3	34.5	15.3	+2.23	-0.01	9-4
25	Duke▼2	ACC	23.9	34.8	29.2	+0.72	+0.92	9-5
26	South Florida▲5	American Athletic	23.9	37.7	25.3	+1.49	-0.30	9-4
27	NC State▼3	ACC	22.9	31.4	25.5	+0.10	+0.91	8-5
28	Clemson▼3	ACC	22.6	27.5	18.9	+0.56	+0.21	7-6
29	Michigan▼1	Big Ten	22.3	30.9	17.0	+1.39	-1.22	9-4
30	East Carolina▲4	American Athletic	22.3	32.6	24.0	+0.10	+1.19	9-4
31	North Texas▼2	American Athletic	22.3	43.1	28.6	+2.43	-0.28	12-2
32	C Connecticut▼2	FBS Independents	22.3	32.0	28.5	+0.39	+1.20	9-4
33	U UTSA▲11	American Athletic	22.3	33.3	30.0	+0.61	+0.61	7-6
34	Kansas State▲8	Big 12	22.3	31.3	25.0	+1.37	+0.74	6-6
35	Arizona▼3	Big 12	22.3	33.0	19.5	+1.15	+1.71	9-4
36	Fresno State▼1	Mountain West	22.3	23.0	21.1	+1.90	+0.88	9-4
37	James Madison—	Sun Belt	22.3	34.9	21.4	+1.52	+0.33	12-2
38	Penn State—	Big Ten	22.3	35.1	18.8	+1.43	-0.10	7-6
39	Utah—	Big 12	22.3	39.7	17.5	+1.73	+0.67	11-2
40	Vanderbilt—	SEC	22.3	39.9	21.4	+3.19	-0.20	10-3
41	Navy▼8	American Athletic	22.3	33.6	27.9	-0.52	+0.17	11-2
42	UNLV▼1	Mountain West	22.3	33.8	29.8	+1.51	-0.40	10-4
43	Georgia Tech—	ACC	22.1	32.5	24.9	+0.84	-0.64	9-4
44	LSU▲1	SEC	22.1	25.8	16.1	+0.59	+0.35	7-6
45	Old Dominion▼9	Sun Belt	22.1	31.6	23.7	+1.39	+0.78	10-3
46	Hawaii▲2	Mountain West	21.8	27.3	27.3	+0.75	+0.09	9-4
47	Florida State—	ACC	21.8	29.3	21.2	+2.69	-1.34	5-7
48	Toledo▲1	Mid-American	21.8	25.8	18.5	+3.09	-0.21	8-5
49	Western Michigan▼3	Mid-American	21.7	21.7	21.8	+2.01	+0.70	10-4
50	Pittsburgh—	ACC	21.7	31.6	23.5	+0.65	-0.96	8-5
51	Boise State—	Mountain West	21.6	29.1	25.1	+0.33	-0.76	9-5
52	New Mexico—	Mountain West	21.6	25.4	26.1	+1.47	-0.13	9-4
53	San Diego State▲1	Mountain West	21.3	24.4	19.6	+1.13	-0.30	9-4
54	Texas State▲1	Sun Belt	21.2	36.6	34.6	+1.63	+0.04	7-6
55	Wake Forest▼2	ACC	21.1	26.6	20.9	+1.27	-0.94	9-4
56	Northwestern—	Big Ten	20.9	24.4	20.0	+0.95	-0.10	7-6
57	Missouri—	SEC	20.9	31.2	15.4	+1.36	-0.85	8-5
58	Washington State—	Pac-12	20.9	24.6	20.5	+1.25	-0.85	7-6
59	Tennessee—	SEC	20.9	39.3	25.4	+0.57	+0.18	8-5
60	Memphis—	American Athletic	20.3	34.3	28.3	-0.48	+0.03	8-5
61	Western Kentucky—	Conference USA	20.3	28.8	28.6	+0.20	-0.99	9-4
62	Ohio—	Mid-American	19.9	23.2	25.2	+1.61	-0.78	9-4
63	Minnesota—	Big Ten	19.8	23.8	20.8	+0.28	+0.35	8-5
64	Jacksonville State—	Conference USA	19.6	27.2	32.4	+0.69	+0.79	9-5
65	Miami (OH)—	Mid-American	19.4	19.3	24.2	+1.66	-0.46	7-7
66	California▲1	ACC	19.2	25.6	27.9	+0.96	-0.65	7-6
67	Army▲1	American Athletic	19.2	24.7	24.1	-0.73	+0.36	7-6
68	Nebraska▼2	Big Ten	19.1	28.8	22.7	-0.26	-0.56	7-6
69	Arizona State—	Big 12	19.0	28.3	22.7	+1.25	-1.84	8-5
70	Utah State—	Mountain West	18.9	29.5	31.2	+1.11	+0.26	6-7
71	Kansas—	Big 12	18.8	30.9	28.5	+0.52	-1.11	5-7
72	Mississippi State—	SEC	18.7	31.6	29.0	-0.43	-0.32	5-8
73	Florida▲2	SEC	18.6	24.5	22.6	-0.03	-0.15	4-8
74	Louisiana Tech▼1	Conference USA	18.6	25.6	27.0	+0.06	+0.16	8-5
75	Auburn▼1	SEC	18.6	28.3	17.4	+0.48	-0.01	5-7
76	Kennesaw State—	Conference USA	18.0	26.4	30.2	+0.28	-0.62	10-4
77	Rutgers—	Big Ten	17.7	31.6	30.7	-1.60	-0.54	5-7
78	Cincinnati▲1	Big 12	17.1	30.2	26.4	+0.79	-1.00	7-6
79	Delaware▼1	Conference USA	16.9	26.2	36.2	-0.02	+0.30	7-6
80	Marshall—	Sun Belt	16.8	29.6	34.8	-0.58	+1.05	5-7
81	Southern Miss—	Sun Belt	16.7	27.0	32.8	-0.39	+0.70	7-6
82	Central Michigan—	Mid-American	16.6	17.6	25.7	+1.56	-1.07	7-6
83	Kentucky▲2	SEC	16.4	25.5	23.7	-1.00	-2.01	5-7
84	Buffalo▼1	Mid-American	16.4	18.2	27.4	+1.58	-1.27	5-7
85	Arkansas▲1	SEC	16.4	35.8	31.4	+0.92	-1.61	2-10
86	Michigan State▼2	Big Ten	16.3	26.6	28.7	+0.78	-0.36	4-8
87	F FIU—	Conference USA	16.0	26.1	35.8	-0.77	-0.06	7-6
88	South Carolina▲1	SEC	16.0	24.6	20.2	+1.43	-0.54	4-8
89	Akron▼1	Mid-American	15.7	17.2	29.3	+0.72	-0.46	5-7
90	Troy—	Sun Belt	15.6	23.6	29.0	-1.41	-0.09	8-6
91	Baylor▲2	Big 12	15.5	32.8	33.3	+0.48	-2.02	5-7
92	Louisiana▼1	Sun Belt	15.4	25.3	34.0	-1.26	-0.11	6-7
93	Bowling Green▲1	Mid-American	15.3	15.4	28.8	+0.65	-0.34	4-8
94	UCF▼2	Big 12	15.2	23.2	24.0	+0.02	-1.22	5-7
95	Air Force—	Mountain West	15.2	28.3	31.7	-0.84	-0.39	4-8
96	South Alabama—	Sun Belt	15.2	25.4	36.0	-1.26	+0.51	4-8
97	Maryland▲1	Big Ten	15.2	24.4	24.7	+0.09	-0.39	4-8
98	Missouri State▼1	Conference USA	15.1	25.6	34.8	+0.65	-0.63	7-6
99	Appalachian State—	Sun Belt	14.9	23.0	35.2	-1.50	-0.23	—
100	Arkansas State—	Sun Belt	14.8	24.4	33.5	-0.46	-0.35	7-6
101	Tulsa—	American Athletic	14.8	21.7	33.1	+0.20	-0.81	4-8
102	Georgia Southern—	Sun Belt	14.5	28.3	37.7	-1.23	+0.02	7-6
103	Middle Tennessee—	Conference USA	14.4	20.4	37.0	+0.18	+0.29	3-9
104	Eastern Michigan—	Mid-American	14.4	19.4	34.1	+2.30	-1.64	4-8
105	West Virginia▲2	Big 12	14.4	22.8	30.0	-0.67	+0.18	4-8
106	Liberty▼1	Conference USA	14.3	24.6	32.8	+0.31	-1.05	4-8
107	Wyoming▼1	Mountain West	14.2	15.3	24.7	-0.26	-0.65	4-8
108	Temple—	American Athletic	13.6	27.1	33.2	-2.37	+0.69	5-7
109	Colorado—	Big 12	13.5	22.6	29.5	-0.93	-0.52	3-9
110	Wisconsin▲1	Big Ten	13.4	17.4	20.9	-0.12	-1.54	4-8
111	North Carolina▼1	ACC	13.4	17.2	25.0	+0.75	-0.63	4-8
112	New Mexico State—	Conference USA	13.3	19.7	34.9	-0.96	-0.36	4-8
113	Nevada—	Mountain West	13.0	14.2	28.7	-0.46	-0.80	3-9
114	San Jose State▲1	Mountain West	13.0	21.6	34.4	+1.36	-2.39	3-9
115	Northern Illinois▼1	Mid-American	13.0	12.0	28.1	+0.36	+0.11	3-9
116	Kent State—	Mid-American	12.5	17.0	34.9	+1.76	-0.60	5-7
117	Oregon State—	Pac-12	12.3	17.0	30.8	-0.29	-0.97	2-10
118	UCLA—	Big Ten	12.1	21.7	30.4	-1.08	-0.48	3-9
119	Stanford—	ACC	12.0	18.4	28.6	-0.69	-0.59	4-8
120	Boston College—	ACC	12.0	23.3	33.1	-0.92	-1.15	2-10
121	Virginia Tech—	ACC	11.6	21.4	30.8	+0.93	-1.43	3-9
122	Florida Atlantic—	American Athletic	11.4	27.8	38.1	-0.72	-2.15	4-8
123	Coastal Carolina—	Sun Belt	11.3	23.4	37.0	-1.46	+0.30	6-7
124	Ball State—	Mid-American	11.2	13.4	34.4	-0.08	-0.75	4-8
125	Colorado State—	Mountain West	11.1	17.6	32.9	-0.25	-0.81	2-10
126	UAB—	American Athletic	10.6	25.5	39.8	-1.92	-1.24	4-8
127	UTEP—	Conference USA	10.5	20.2	36.3	-0.65	-1.06	2-10
128	Purdue—	Big Ten	10.2	21.9	29.9	-2.66	-1.40	2-10
129	Rice—	American Athletic	9.3	17.7	33.9	-4.70	-0.72	5-8
130	Oklahoma State—	Big 12	8.9	15.2	31.6	-0.89	-1.17	1-11
131	LM Louisiana Monroe—	Sun Belt	8.6	16.1	35.7	-0.65	-0.83	3-9
132	Syracuse—	ACC	7.8	18.8	33.0	-3.27	-1.88	3-9
133	Sam Houston State—	Conference USA	7.4	15.3	41.8	-1.87	-0.05	2-10
134	Georgia State—	Sun Belt	6.4	18.6	41.1	-1.15	-0.69	1-11
135	Massachusetts—	Mid-American	6.2	7.8	42.8	-0.84	-1.18	0-12
136	Charlotte—	American Athletic	4.5	14.5	39.8	-2.84	—	1-11

SP+ ratings via CollegeFootballData.com · updated weekly