BBMI Rank · #11 of 136
SMU
Record 9-4ACCPower rating 27.7
Quality wins
11.4
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #23SP+ Off
34.2
23rd
YPP diff
+2.45
8th
TO margin
-0.39
76th
Defense
SP+ #25SP+ Def
19.5
25th
Q-Wins
11.4
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.2
101st
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | 1 | N Arizona#35 | W 24–19 | SMU -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | @ California#66 | L 35–38 | SMU -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Louisville#15 | W 38–6 | SMU -5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ Boston College#120 | W 45–13 | SMU -26.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Miami (FL)#7 | W 26–20 | SMU +2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Wake Forest#55 | L 12–13 | SMU -7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Clemson#28 | W 35–24 | SMU -14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Stanford#119 | W 34–10 | SMU -28.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Syracuse#132 | W 31–18 | SMU -35.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ TCU#21 | L 24–35 | SMU -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Missouri State#98 | W 28–10 | SMU -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Baylor#91 | L 45–48 | SMU -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 31 | 1 | vs ETA East Texas A&M Lions | W 42–13 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.