Team Pages/ACC/SMU
SMU logo
ACC • 2026 SEASON

SMU

Record 6-1vs line 4–2 ATSLast W 59–20 vs CaliforniaNext Oct 31 at Syracuse
#21
BBMI rank
+26.2
Rating
9.3–2.7
Proj record
11%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
SMU logo
SMU
#21 • +26.2 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Syracuse
#80 • +18.1 • home
Syracuse logo
—
Model line
-10.5
Market line
—
Edge
87%
Outright win probability
SMU 87%Syracuse 13%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 7
Florida State logoat Florida State
W 27–24#7144%
Sep 12
UC Davis logovs UC Davis
W 56–10
Sep 19
Louisville logoat Louisville
L 31–41#4031–3037%
Sep 26
Missouri State logovs Missouri State
W 34–24#12731–2499%
Oct 3
Boston College logovs Boston College
W 25–16#5928–2294%
Oct 17
Virginia logovs Virginia
W 23–13#8326–2762%
Oct 24
California logovs California
W 59–20#8941–1298%
Oct 31
Syracuse logoat Syracuse
Sat 11:00 AM#8087%
Nov 6
Virginia Tech logovs Virginia Tech
Fri 6:00 PM#4576%
Nov 14
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
Sat#1365%†
Nov 21
Notre Dame logoat Notre Dame
Sat#69%†
Nov 28
Stanford logoat Stanford
Sat#10292%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#20#25#30#35#40
#21
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field11%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal1%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.3
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+7.6#19
Defense (pts vs avg)-5.5#31
Yards per play margin+2.25#22
Turnover margin-0.32#74
Strength of schedule+0.7#37

BBMI picks on SMU

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on SMU
3–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.