Team Pages/Sun Belt/Louisiana
Louisiana logo
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON

Louisiana

Record 5-3vs line 4–3 ATSLast L 31–35 at Southern MissNext Nov 7 vs South Alabama
#74
BBMI rank
+20.3
Rating
8.3–3.7
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
South Alabama logo
South Alabama
#94 • +14.0 • Sun Belt
SAT NOV 7 • 4:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Louisiana
#74 • +20.3 • home
Louisiana logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
87%
Outright win probability
Louisiana 87%South Alabama 13%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Lamar logovs Lamar
W 38–7
Sep 12
USC logoat USC
L 30–49#3325–241%
Sep 19
UAB logovs UAB
W 21–14#9130–2587%
Sep 26
Charlotte logoat Charlotte
W 34–7#13229–2385%
Oct 3
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
W 23–20#9224–2080%
Oct 10
Louisiana Tech logoat Louisiana Tech
L 31–32#5827–2660%
Oct 17
Troy logovs Troy
W 33–6#12426–2462%
Oct 24
Southern Miss logoat Southern Miss
L 31–35#12632–2179%
Nov 7
South Alabama logovs South Alabama
Sat 4:00 PM#9487%
Nov 12
Louisiana Monroe logoat Louisiana Monroe
Thu#13195%†
Nov 21
Coastal Carolina logovs Coastal Carolina
Sat#11888%†
Nov 28
Georgia State logoat Georgia State
Sat#9754%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#70#80#90#100
#74
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 4 to #74, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Sun Belt0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.3
678910
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+0.7#64
Defense (pts vs avg)+0.8#73
Yards per play margin+1.13#52
Turnover margin+0.10#45
Strength of schedule-1.0#125

BBMI picks on Louisiana

2026 • ATS
4–2
Picks on Louisiana
0–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.