BBMI Rank · #117 of 138
Bowling Green
Record 0-0MACPower rating 11.7
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #128SP+ Off
14.8
128th
YPP diff
0.00
117th
TO margin
0.00
117th
Defense
SP+ #88SP+ Def
28.3
88th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.3
51st
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Tarleton State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Nebraska#37 | +23 | Bowling Green +23 | 11% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Iowa State#65 | +16.5 | Bowling Green +16.5 | 19% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs South Florida#81 | +8.5 | Bowling Green +8.5 | 32% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Miami (OH)#84 | +12.5 | Bowling Green +12.5 | 25% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Sacramento State#130 | -11.5 | Bowling Green -11.5 | 73% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Ball State#134 | -14 | Bowling Green -14 | 77% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Buffalo#110 | +3.5 | Bowling Green +3.5 | 43% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ Western Michigan#98 | +8 | Bowling Green +8 | 33% |
| Nov 10 | 11 | vs Kent State#128 | -9 | Bowling Green -9 | 68% |
| Nov 20 | 12 | @ Toledo#111 | +4 | Bowling Green +4 | 42% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Massachusetts#137 | -19.5 | Bowling Green -19.5 | 85% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.