The 2026 season hasn’t kicked off yet.
College football picks return when Week 1 opening lines post (late August 2026). Until then, last season’s full pick log and walk-forward accuracy are on the Model Accuracy page.
Model status: walk-forward validated across two independent seasons — the full graded log is on Model Accuracy.
In the meantime, see last season’s full pick log & accuracy →
Why spread only — and why we trust it
The football model was built and frozen on one season, then tested on a second it had never seen. The against-the-spread edge held up with a 0.0-point overfitting gap — in-sample and out-of-sample accuracy matched. That walk-forward result is why ATS is the product.
Totals are projected by the same engine but haven’t cleared the same out-of-sample bar, so they’re shown for reference only — never tracked or sold as picks. We’d rather under-promise than pad the record.
Inputs: SP+ efficiency, opponent-adjusted box scores, quality wins, home field, altitude, and weather-adjusted expectations. Lines freeze at pipeline run time and do not change during the week.