BBMI Rankings.
All 32 teams, rated on opponent-adjusted efficiency — not record or reputation. The BBMI score is a neutral-field point rating: the projected margin against an average NFL team.
| Rank | Team | Conf | BBMI | Record | Off | Def | Margin | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Seattle Seahawks | NFC | +9.4 | 14–3 | +0.035 | −0.161 | +11.2 | 19 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Rams | NFC | +7.1 | 12–5 | +0.139 | −0.030 | +10.1 | 5 |
| 3 |  New England Patriots | AFC | +7.1 | 14–3 | +0.192 | −0.030 | +10.0 | 32 |
| 4 |  Buffalo Bills | AFC | +5.6 | 12–5 | +0.109 | −0.014 | +6.8 | 29 |
| 5 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | AFC | +5.0 | 13–4 | +0.042 | −0.104 | +8.1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Denver Broncos | AFC | +4.6 | 14–3 | +0.053 | −0.034 | +5.3 | 31 |
| 7 |  Houston Texans | AFC | +4.5 | 12–5 | −0.012 | −0.115 | +6.4 | 4 |
| 8 |  Philadelphia Eagles | NFC | +4.2 | 11–6 | +0.044 | −0.105 | +3.2 | 20 |
| 9 |  San Francisco 49ers | NFC | +3.7 | 12–5 | +0.152 | +0.071 | +3.9 | 8 |
| 10 |  Baltimore Ravens | AFC | +2.7 | 8–9 | +0.056 | +0.002 | +1.5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Detroit Lions | NFC | +2.7 | 9–8 | +0.026 | +0.024 | +4.0 | 18 |
| 12 |  Chicago Bears | NFC | +2.4 | 11–6 | +0.103 | +0.022 | +1.5 | 28 |
| 13 |  Green Bay Packers | NFC | +1.4 | 9–7-1 | +0.141 | +0.065 | +1.8 | 23 |
| 14 |  Kansas City Chiefs | AFC | +0.9 | 6–11 | −0.007 | +0.013 | +2.0 | 17 |
| 15 |  Los Angeles Chargers | AFC | +0.9 | 11–6 | −0.002 | −0.093 | +1.6 | 26 |
| 16 |  Pittsburgh Steelers | AFC | +0.4 | 10–7 | +0.006 | −0.010 | +0.6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Minnesota Vikings | NFC | −0.2 | 9–8 | −0.121 | −0.121 | +0.6 | 10 |
| 18 |  Indianapolis Colts | AFC | −0.5 | 8–9 | +0.027 | +0.042 | +3.2 | 6 |
| 19 |  Atlanta Falcons | NFC | −1.2 | 8–9 | +0.017 | +0.018 | −2.8 | 21 |
| 20 |  Cincinnati Bengals | AFC | −1.3 | 6–11 | +0.062 | +0.104 | −4.5 | 14 |
| 21 |  Dallas Cowboys | NFC | −1.9 | 7–9-1 | +0.110 | +0.182 | −2.4 | 30 |
| 22 |  New Orleans Saints | NFC | −1.9 | 6–11 | −0.044 | −0.085 | −4.5 | 25 |
| 23 |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NFC | −1.9 | 8–9 | −0.004 | +0.045 | −1.8 | 9 |
| 24 |  New York Giants | NFC | −2.2 | 4–13 | +0.042 | +0.074 | −3.4 | 15 |
| 25 |  Miami Dolphins | AFC | −2.7 | 7–10 | +0.002 | +0.050 | −4.5 | 24 |
| 26 |  Cleveland Browns | AFC | −4.4 | 5–12 | −0.203 | −0.087 | −5.9 | 27 |
| 27 |  Carolina Panthers | NFC | −4.7 | 8–9 | −0.059 | +0.069 | −4.1 | 12 |
| 28 |  Washington Commanders | NFC | −5.2 | 5–12 | +0.015 | +0.202 | −5.6 | 16 |
| 29 |  Arizona Cardinals | NFC | −5.8 | 3–14 | −0.019 | +0.120 | −7.8 | 2 |
| 30 |  Las Vegas Raiders | AFC | −5.9 | 3–14 | −0.197 | +0.069 | −11.2 | 3 |
| 31 |  Tennessee Titans | AFC | −8.0 | 3–14 | −0.110 | +0.083 | −11.4 | 1 |
| 32 |  New York Jets | AFC | −10.9 | 3–14 | −0.170 | +0.170 | −12.0 | 7 |
Showing 32 of 32 teams, filterable by conference. BBMI = neutral-field point rating; Off / Def are opponent-adjusted EPA per play; Margin is average per-game scoring differential; SOS rank 1 = hardest schedule.
Why rankings but no NFL picks?
The NFL betting market is the most efficient in sports — enormous handle, sharp money, and instant line correction. The same BBMI model that finds a real edge in college football and baseball doesn’t clear the −110 breakeven bar against NFL closing lines often enough to publish picks honestly.
So we don’t. The rankings are analytics content — the same opponent-adjusted efficiency engine, useful for understanding the league — without a pick product attached. Selling NFL picks we don’t believe in would undercut the whole point of the site.
The BBMI score is the projected neutral-field margin: opponent-adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, scoring margin, and schedule strength.