NFC WEST • 2026 SEASON
San Francisco 49ers
#1
BBMI rank
+6.2
Rating
13.1–3.9
Proj record
99%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Las Vegas Raiders
SUN NOV 8 • 3:05 PM CT
Premium
projected score
San Francisco 49ers
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 10
at LARW 27–7#13+3.540%
at LARSep 20
vs MIAW 35–13#31-13.590%
vs MIASep 27
vs ARIW 36–30#28-7.588%
vs ARIOct 4
vs DENW 24–14#5-3.063%
vs DENOct 11
at SEAW 32–29#6+3.044%
at SEAOct 19
vs WASW 23–17#26-7.079%
vs WASOct 25
at ATLL 20–29#18-2.562%
at ATLNov 8vs LVSun 3:05 PM#23-9.5Premium
vs LVNov 15
at DALSun 3:25 PM#20+1.0Premium
at DALNov 22
vs MINSun 7:20 PM#3-3.5Premium
vs MINNov 29vs SEASun 3:25 PM#6-1.5Premium
vs SEADec 6
at NYGSun 12:00 PM#17-3.0Premium
at NYGDec 13vs LARSun 3:25 PM#13+2.5Premium
vs LARDec 17
at LACThu 7:15 PM#30+2.5Premium
at LACDec 27
at KCSun 3:25 PM#4+3.0Premium
at KCJan 3
vs PHISun 7:20 PM#29-1.5Premium
vs PHIJan 10at ARISun 12:00 PM#28-8.5Premium
at ARIModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#2#4#6#8#10
#1
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #907-28 #609-15 #409-22 #409-29 #210-06 #110-13 #110-20 #110-27 #1
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC West87%
Make the playoffs99%
No. 1 seed (bye)60%
Reach the Super Bowl38%
Win the Super Bowl22%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
13.1
10111213141516
Middle half of the simulations: 12 to 14 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 11 to 15. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.156#2
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.038#9
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.268#3
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.001#7
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.066#15
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.205#2
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.3#23
Projected wins13.1#1
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the 49ers
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on SF
4–3
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.