NFC WEST • 2026 SEASON
Los Angeles Rams
#13
BBMI rank
+6.7
Rating
9.4–7.6
Proj record
46%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Los Angeles Chargers
SUN NOV 1 • 3:05 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Los Angeles Rams
Model assumes: Justin Herbert (LAC) v Matthew Stafford (LA)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 10
vs SFL 7–27#1-3.560%
vs SFSep 21
vs NYGW 28–6#17-6.578%
vs NYGSep 27
at DENL 26–30#5-1.063%
at DENOct 4
at PHIW 24–20#29-3.564%
at PHIOct 12
vs BUFL 34–37#2-3.561%
vs BUFOct 18
vs ARIL 16–18#28-12.589%
vs ARIOct 25
at LVW 35–21#23-3.068%
at LVNov 1vs LACSun 3:05 PM#30-6.5Premium
vs LACNov 8
at WASSun 12:00 PM#26-5.5Premium
at WASNov 15at ARISun 3:05 PM#28-10.5Premium
at ARINov 25
vs GBWed 7:00 PM#15-4.5Premium
vs GBDec 3
vs KCThu 7:15 PM#4-3.5Premium
vs KCDec 13at SFSun 3:25 PM#1-2.5Premium
at SFDec 20
vs DALSun 3:25 PM#20-6.0Premium
vs DALDec 25
at SEAFri 7:15 PM#60.0Premium
at SEAJan 3
at TBSun 12:00 PM#22-4.5Premium
at TBJan 10vs SEASun 12:00 PM#6-3.0Premium
vs SEAModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#1#5#10#15
#13
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #607-28 #109-15 #109-22 #109-29 #410-06 #410-13 #610-20 #1510-27 #13
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC West3%
Make the playoffs46%
No. 1 seed (bye)1%
Reach the Super Bowl7%
Win the Super Bowl4%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.4
6789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 7.5 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.055#9
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.039#7
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.110#16
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.042#10
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.023#9
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.130#10
Schedule strength (opp rating)+0.6#9
Projected wins9.4#13
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Rams
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on LAR
5–2
Picks against
+2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.