NFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Green Bay Packers
#15
BBMI rank
+2.9
Rating
8.6–8.4
Proj record
24%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Carolina Panthers
THU OCT 29 • 7:15 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Green Bay Packers
Model assumes: Bryce Young (CAR) v Jordan Love (GB)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at MINL 22–39#3+1.553%
at MINSep 20
at NYJW 20–17#27-3.071%
at NYJSep 24
vs ATLL 14–35#18-4.570%
vs ATLOct 4
at TBW 17–14#22-3.055%
at TBOct 11
vs CHIW 31–7#8+1.551%
vs CHIOct 18
vs DALW 23–13#200.054%
vs DALOct 25
at DETL 17–20#9+3.530%
at DETOct 29vs CARThu 7:15 PM#19-3.5Premium
vs CARNov 8
at NESun 3:25 PM#11+3.0Premium
at NENov 15vs MINSun 12:00 PM#3-4.5Premium
vs MINNov 25
at LARWed 7:00 PM#13+4.5Premium
at LARDec 6
at NOSun 12:00 PM#25-4.5Premium
at NODec 13
vs BUFSun 7:20 PM#2-1.5Premium
vs BUFDec 20
vs MIASun 12:00 PM#31-10.5Premium
vs MIADec 25at CHIFri 12:00 PM#8+1.0Premium
at CHIJan 4
vs HOUMon 7:15 PM#21-2.5Premium
vs HOUJan 10vs DETSun 12:00 PM#9-2.5Premium
vs DETModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#5#10#15#20
#16
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #407-28 #1209-15 #1109-22 #1409-29 #2110-06 #2210-13 #1610-20 #1410-27 #16
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC North2%
Make the playoffs24%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl1%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
8.6
6789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 7 to 10.5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.001#17
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.027#12
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.136#12
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.291#32
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.023#11
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.106#12
Schedule strength (opp rating)+1.1#3
Projected wins8.6#17
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Packers
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on GB
2–3
Picks against
-1.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks, 2 of them pushes.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.