AFC WEST • 2026 SEASON
Los Angeles Chargers
#30
BBMI rank
-1.1
Rating
4.4–12.6
Proj record
0%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Los Angeles Chargers
SUN NOV 1 • 3:05 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Los Angeles Rams
Model assumes: Justin Herbert (LAC) v Matthew Stafford (LA)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
vs ARIL 14–26#28-9.586%
vs ARISep 20
vs LVL 14–26#23-6.577%
vs LVSep 27
at BUFL 16–24#2+7.035%
at BUFOct 4
at SEAL 23–30#6+7.029%
at SEAOct 11
vs DENL 17–23#5+3.538%
vs DENOct 18
at KCL 6–22#4+7.527%
at KCNov 1at LARSun 3:05 PM#13+6.5Premium
at LARNov 8
vs HOUSun 3:05 PM#21+3.5Premium
vs HOUNov 16
at BALMon 7:15 PM#14+3.0Premium
at BALNov 22
vs NYJSun 3:05 PM#27-9.5Premium
vs NYJNov 29
vs NESun 7:20 PM#11-2.5Premium
vs NEDec 6
at TBSun 12:00 PM#22-1.5Premium
at TBDec 13at LVSun 3:05 PM#23-5.5Premium
at LVDec 17
vs SFThu 7:15 PM#1-2.5Premium
vs SFDec 27
at MIASun 12:00 PM#31-7.0Premium
at MIAJan 3vs KCSun 12:00 PM#4-1.5Premium
vs KCJan 10at DENSun 12:00 PM#5+1.5Premium
at DENModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#10#15#20#25#30
#30
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #1507-28 #909-15 #1209-22 #1609-29 #2510-06 #2510-13 #2910-20 #3010-27 #30
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC West0%
Make the playoffs0%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
4.4
12345678
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 2.5 to 6.5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.209#32
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.034#10
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.191#32
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.235#30
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.013#7
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.090#19
Schedule strength (opp rating)+1.1#4
Projected wins4.4#30
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Chargers
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on LAC
2–3
Picks against
-1.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks, 1 of them pushes.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.