AFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Baltimore Ravens
#14
BBMI rank
+1.5
Rating
9.4–7.6
Proj record
47%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Baltimore Ravens
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Buffalo Bills
Model assumes: Lamar Jackson (BAL, Q) v Josh Allen (BUF)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at INDW 41–23#24-3.065%
at INDSep 20
vs NOL 17–24#25-8.574%
vs NOSep 27
at DALW 34–31#20-3.568%
at DALOct 4
vs TENW 24–18#32-11.583%
vs TENOct 11
at ATLW 30–23#18+3.036%
at ATLOct 18
at CLEL 10–13#16-3.047%
at CLEOct 25
vs CINL 13–35#7+3.057%
vs CINNov 1at BUFSun 12:00 PM#2+3.0Premium
at BUFNov 5
vs JAXThu 7:15 PM#10-3.0Premium
vs JAXNov 16
vs LACMon 7:15 PM#30-3.0Premium
vs LACNov 22
at CARSun 12:00 PM#19-4.5Premium
at CARNov 29
at HOUSun 12:00 PM#21+1.0Premium
at HOUDec 13
vs TBSun 12:00 PM#22-6.0Premium
vs TBDec 20
at PITSun 12:00 PM#12-2.5Premium
at PITDec 27vs CLESun 12:00 PM#16-10.0Premium
vs CLEDec 31at CINThu 7:15 PM#7+2.5Premium
at CINJan 10vs PITSun 12:00 PM#12-5.5Premium
vs PITModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#1#5#10#15
#14
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #107-28 #209-15 #209-22 #309-29 #610-06 #610-13 #910-20 #1110-27 #14
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC North10%
Make the playoffs47%
No. 1 seed (bye)1%
Reach the Super Bowl4%
Win the Super Bowl2%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.4
6789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 7.5 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.071#8
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.026#20
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.181#8
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.074#11
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.085#19
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.076#22
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.3#21
Projected wins9.4#14
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Ravens
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on BAL
3–4
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.