Playoff Pulse.
The projected playoff field — seven seeds per conference, top seed on a bye — re-simulated nightly. Seeding odds and the most likely February matchup.
Analytics, not picksThe model doesn’t price NFL title odds — the figures above are each projected 1-seed’s probability of reaching the postseason, not a championship chance.
Projected seeding
Seed 1 earns the bye · green = high playoff oddsAFC
| Seed | Team | Proj | Make field | Division % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  New England Patriots | 14–3 | 100% | 100% |
| 2 |  Denver Broncos | 14–3 | 100% | 100% |
| 3 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | 13–4 | 100% | 100% |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Steelers | 10–7 | 100% | 100% |
| 5 |  Buffalo Bills | 12–5 | 100% | 0% |
| 6 |  Houston Texans | 12–5 | 100% | 0% |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Chargers | 11–6 | 100% | 0% |
NFC
| Seed | Team | Proj | Make field | Division % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Seattle Seahawks | 14–3 | 100% | 100% |
| 2 |  Philadelphia Eagles | 11–6 | 100% | 100% |
| 3 |  Chicago Bears | 11–6 | 100% | 100% |
| 4 |  Atlanta Falcons | 8–9 | 100% | 100% |
| 5 |  Los Angeles Rams | 12–5 | 100% | 0% |
| 6 |  San Francisco 49ers | 12–5 | 100% | 0% |
| 7 |  Green Bay Packers | 9–8 | 100% | 0% |
Seven seeds per conference; the 1-seed earns the first-round bye. Make field is each team’s probability of reaching the postseason across the 10,000 simulations. Re-simulated nightly.
Seattle SeahawksEvery team
Tap a column to sort · green = high playoff odds| Team | Record | Rating | Playoff % ▼ | Division % | Proj | vs O/U | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle SeahawksNFC West | 14-3 | +9.4 | 100% | 100% | 14–3 | +6.0 | Clinched |
| Los Angeles RamsNFC West | 12-5 | +7.1 | 100% | 0% | 12–5 | +3.5 | Clinched |
| New England PatriotsAFC East | 14-3 | +7.1 | 100% | 100% | 14–3 | +7.5 | Clinched |
| Buffalo BillsAFC East | 12-5 | +5.6 | 100% | 0% | 12–5 | +1.5 | Clinched |
| Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South | 13-4 | +5.0 | 100% | 100% | 13–4 | +6.0 | Clinched |
| Denver BroncosAFC West | 14-3 | +4.6 | 100% | 100% | 14–3 | +5.5 | Clinched |
| Houston TexansAFC South | 12-5 | +4.5 | 100% | 0% | 12–5 | +2.5 | Clinched |
| Philadelphia EaglesNFC East | 11-6 | +4.2 | 100% | 100% | 11–6 | +1.0 | Clinched |
| San Francisco 49ersNFC West | 12-5 | +3.7 | 100% | 0% | 12–5 | +2.5 | Clinched |
| Chicago BearsNFC North | 11-6 | +2.4 | 100% | 100% | 11–6 | +2.5 | Clinched |
| Green Bay PackersNFC North | 9-7-1 | +1.4 | 100% | 0% | 9–8 | -0.5 | Clinched |
| Los Angeles ChargersAFC West | 11-6 | +0.9 | 100% | 0% | 11–6 | +2.0 | Clinched |
| Pittsburgh SteelersAFC North | 10-7 | +0.4 | 100% | 100% | 10–7 | +1.0 | Clinched |
| Atlanta FalconsNFC South | 8-9 | -1.2 | 100% | 100% | 8–9 | -0.5 | Clinched |
 Baltimore RavensAFC North | 8-9 | +2.7 | 0% | 0% | 8–9 | -3.0 | Eliminated |
 Detroit LionsNFC North | 9-8 | +2.7 | 0% | 0% | 9–8 | -2.5 | Eliminated |
 Kansas City ChiefsAFC West | 6-11 | +0.9 | 0% | 0% | 6–11 | -4.5 | Eliminated |
 Minnesota VikingsNFC North | 9-8 | -0.2 | 0% | 0% | 9–8 | -0.5 | Eliminated |
 Indianapolis ColtsAFC South | 8-9 | -0.5 | 0% | 0% | 8–9 | 0.0 | Eliminated |
 Cincinnati BengalsAFC North | 6-11 | -1.3 | 0% | 0% | 6–11 | -3.5 | Eliminated |
 Dallas CowboysNFC East | 7-9-1 | -1.9 | 0% | 0% | 7–10 | -1.0 | Eliminated |
 New Orleans SaintsNFC South | 6-11 | -1.9 | 0% | 0% | 6–11 | -1.0 | Eliminated |
 Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFC South | 8-9 | -1.9 | 0% | 0% | 8–9 | -0.5 | Eliminated |
 New York GiantsNFC East | 4-13 | -2.2 | 0% | 0% | 4–13 | -2.5 | Eliminated |
 Miami DolphinsAFC East | 7-10 | -2.7 | 0% | 0% | 7–10 | -1.5 | Eliminated |
 Cleveland BrownsAFC North | 5-12 | -4.4 | 0% | 0% | 5–12 | -1.5 | Eliminated |
 Carolina PanthersNFC South | 8-9 | -4.7 | 0% | 0% | 8–9 | +3.0 | Eliminated |
 Washington CommandersNFC East | 5-12 | -5.2 | 0% | 0% | 5–12 | -4.5 | Eliminated |
 Arizona CardinalsNFC West | 3-14 | -5.8 | 0% | 0% | 3–14 | -4.5 | Eliminated |
 Las Vegas RaidersAFC West | 3-14 | -5.9 | 0% | 0% | 3–14 | -3.5 | Eliminated |
 Tennessee TitansAFC South | 3-14 | -8.0 | 0% | 0% | 3–14 | -2.5 | Eliminated |
 New York JetsAFC East | 3-14 | -10.9 | 0% | 0% | 3–14 | -4.5 | Eliminated |
How the NFL playoff simulation works
The rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times using BBMI power ratings, home field, and the actual remaining schedule. Each simulated season resolves tiebreakers and seeds the bracket, then plays it out to a Super Bowl champion.
This is analytics, not a betting product — BBMI doesn’t price NFL picks. The odds describe where the model thinks the season is heading; see the methodology for why we publish ratings, not recommendations.