Team Pages/NFC North/Minnesota Vikings
MIN
NFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON

Minnesota Vikings

Record 1-0vs line 0–1 ATSLast W 39–22 vs GBNext Sep 20 at CHI
#18
BBMI rank
0.0
Rating
8.4–8.6
Proj record
30%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are preseason. They come from the week 1 season simulation, built 2026-07-19, and are seeded from market win-total priors rather than from games played. The schedule, the lines and the results below are current.

Next game

Game Picks →
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
#18 • 0.0 • NFC North
SUN SEP 20 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected yet
projected score
Chicago Bears
#15 • +1.6 • home
CHI
—
Model line
+5.5
Market line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board, week by week as it prices
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
GBvs GB
W 39–22#12-1.547%
Sep 20
CHIat CHI
Sun 12:00 PM#15+5.5
Sep 27
TBat TB
Sun 3:05 PM#20+1.5
Oct 4
MIAvs MIA
Sun 3:05 PM#31-7.5
Oct 11
NOat NO
Sun 12:00 PM#22-1.5
Oct 25
INDvs IND
Sun 12:00 PM#21-2.5
Nov 1
DETat DET
Sun 12:00 PM#4+4.5
Nov 9
BUFvs BUF
Mon 7:15 PM#3+3.5
Nov 15
GBat GB
Sun 12:00 PM#12+4.5
Nov 22
SFat SF
Sun 7:20 PM#6+3.5
Nov 29
ATLvs ATL
Sun 12:00 PM#26-3.5
Dec 6
CARvs CAR
Sun 3:25 PM#25-3.5
Dec 10
NEat NE
Thu 7:15 PM#10+4.5
Dec 20
DETvs DET
Sun 7:20 PM#4+2.5
Dec 27
WASvs WAS
Sun 12:00 PM#23-2.5
Jan 3
NYJat NYJ
Sun 12:00 PM#29-3.5
Jan 10
CHIvs CHI
Sun 12:00 PM#15-1.5

Ranking over time

no series published
The weekly store is running for this sport, but the rating it freezes has not been republished since the preseason build, so there are not yet two Tuesdays to plot.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Win the NFC North6%
Make the playoffs30%
No. 1 seed (bye)1%
Reach the Super Bowl2%
Win the Super Bowl1%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
8.4
56789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 6 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.121#29
Defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.121#2
Pass offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.153#31
Rush offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.101#25
Pass defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.061#4
Rush defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.095#13
Schedule strength (opp rating)+0.1#19
Projected wins8.4#18
These are 2025 figures and they fill in as 2026 is played. EPA per play is produced per season, so a 2026 column replaces this one once enough games exist to compute it. It is shown as last season’s rather than left blank because a measured figure from the season just gone says more about a roster in week 2 than an empty card does.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.

BBMI picks on the Vikings

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on MIN
0–1
Picks against
-1.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.