AFC EAST • 2026 SEASON
Miami Dolphins
#31
BBMI rank
-8.8
Rating
3.6–13.4
Proj record
0%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
New England Patriots
SUN NOV 1 • 3:25 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Miami Dolphins
Model assumes: Drake Maye (NE) v Malik Willis (MIA)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at LVL 13–27#23+3.035%
at LVSep 20
at SFL 13–35#1+13.510%
at SFSep 27
vs KCL 10–24#4+9.516%
vs KCOct 4
at MINL 10–15#3+9.517%
at MINOct 11
vs CINL 24–31#7+7.022%
vs CINOct 25
at NYJW 28–25#27+3.530%
at NYJNov 1vs NESun 3:25 PM#11+7.0Premium
vs NENov 8
vs DETSun 12:00 PM#9+7.0Premium
vs DETNov 15
at INDSun 12:00 PM#24+6.5Premium
at INDNov 22
at BUFSun 12:00 PM#2+11.5Premium
at BUFNov 29vs NYJSun 12:00 PM#27-1.5Premium
vs NYJDec 6
at DENSun 3:05 PM#5+9.5Premium
at DENDec 13
vs CHISun 12:00 PM#8+5.5Premium
vs CHIDec 20
at GBSun 12:00 PM#15+10.5Premium
at GBDec 27
vs LACSun 12:00 PM#30+7.0Premium
vs LACJan 3vs BUFSun 12:00 PM#2+7.5Premium
vs BUFJan 10at NESun 12:00 PM#11+10.5Premium
at NEModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#29#30#31#32
#31
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #3207-28 #3109-15 #3209-22 #3209-29 #3210-06 #3210-13 #3210-20 #3210-27 #31
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC East0%
Make the playoffs0%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
3.6
123456
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 2 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.046#26
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.129#29
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.000#24
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.106#18
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.299#32
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.095#16
Schedule strength (opp rating)+1.8#1
Projected wins3.6#31
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Dolphins
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on MIA
3–2
Picks against
+0.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks, 1 of them pushes.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.