Team Pages/AFC South/Tennessee Titans
TEN
AFC SOUTH • 2026 SEASON

Tennessee Titans

Record 1-6vs line 2–5 ATSLast L 24–27 vs CLENext Nov 1 at CIN
#32
BBMI rank
-7.9
Rating
3.6–13.4
Proj record
0%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Last updated:
TEN
Tennessee Titans
#32 • -7.9 • AFC South
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Cincinnati Bengals
#7 • +3.7 • home
CIN
Model line
+10.5
Market line
Premium
Edge
Premium
Win probability

Model assumes: Cam Ward (TEN) v Joe Burrow (CIN)

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board, week by week as it prices
Last updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
NYJvs NYJ
L 10–23#27-1.061%
Sep 20
PHIvs PHI
L 20–24#29+7.028%
Sep 27
NYGat NYG
L 7–12#17+2.540%
Oct 4
BALat BAL
L 18–24#14+11.517%
Oct 11
HOUvs HOU
L 3–26#21+6.533%
Oct 18
INDat IND
W 26–20#24+6.523%
Oct 25
CLEvs CLE
L 24–27#16+2.042%
Nov 1
CINat CIN
Sun 12:00 PM#7+10.5Premium
Nov 15
JAXvs JAX
Sun 12:00 PM#10+2.5Premium
Nov 22
DALat DAL
Sun 12:00 PM#20+6.5Premium
Nov 29
JAXat JAX
Sun 3:05 PM#10+5.5Premium
Dec 6
WASvs WAS
Sun 12:00 PM#26+1.5Premium
Dec 13
DETat DET
Sun 12:00 PM#9+7.5Premium
Dec 20
INDvs IND
Sun 12:00 PM#24+1.5Premium
Dec 27
LVat LV
Sun 3:05 PM#23+1.5Premium
Jan 3
PITvs PIT
Sun 12:00 PM#12+1.5Premium
Jan 10
HOUat HOU
Sun 12:00 PM#21+7.0Premium

Model lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 32
#26#28#30#32
#32
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #2807-28 #2709-15 #2909-22 #3009-29 #3110-06 #3110-13 #3110-20 #3110-27 #32

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win the AFC South0%
Make the playoffs0%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
3.6
123456
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 2 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.121#31
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.045#23
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.119#29
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.126#20
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.139#24
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.069#24
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.3#25
Projected wins3.6#32
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.

BBMI picks on the Titans

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on TEN
2–5
Picks against
-3.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.